TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11981205
Played Jun 3Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116911112811113
Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Kyrylo Riazanovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 83 set 5, 11-3
83 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 5–1 Kyrylo Riazanovskyi Kyrylo Riazanovskyi has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skhabitskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 1.61 / Riazanovskyi 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #11981205
Skhabitskiy1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 72 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 51 of 70
Riazanovskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy5wins
AwayRiazanovskyi1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy100%4 of 4
AwayRiazanovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy4Riazanovskyi2n = 6Skhabitskiy took 4 of 6
S2Skhabitskiy4Riazanovskyi2n = 6Skhabitskiy took 4 of 6
S3Skhabitskiy4Riazanovskyi2n = 6Skhabitskiy took 4 of 6
S4Skhabitskiy4Riazanovskyi0n = 4Skhabitskiy took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyRiazanovskyiS − RBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.032.0+8.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyRiazanovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime579 / 1320 vs 65 / 13743.9%47.5%579 / 1320 vs 65 / 137Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiySkhabitskiy 1.61/Riazanovskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WNov 20 · 07:30S. Skhabitskiy—3K. Riazanovskyi—2
WOct 30 · 05:49S. Skhabitskiy—3K. Riazanovskyi—0
WSep 18 · 05:47S. Skhabitskiy—3K. Riazanovskyi—1
LSep 11 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy—2K. Riazanovskyi—3
WJul 21 · 08:20S. Skhabitskiy—3K. Riazanovskyi—1
WJun 5 · 06:00S. Skhabitskiy—3K. Riazanovskyi—0
S. Skhabitskiy10
WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782WAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko2.633990S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960
K. Riazanovskyi10
LSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123LJun 24 · 17:50K. Klymenko1.831111113K. Riazanovskyi1.835970LJun 24 · 16:50K. Riazanovskyi1.73111051392V. Melnykov2.008121111113LJun 24 · 15:50O. Leonenko1.9111149113K. Riazanovskyi1.806121151LJun 3 · 21:20O. Leonenko2.001911113K. Riazanovskyi1.7317770WJun 3 · 20:20A. Kurtenko1.618680K. Riazanovskyi2.201111113LJun 3 · 18:50K. Klymenko2.201112113K. Riazanovskyi1.6141070LJun 3 · 16:50O. Osadchyi2.201111113K. Riazanovskyi1.617890LMar 25 · 22:50A. Kurtenko1.911111113K. Riazanovskyi1.803840
Upcoming Matches
S. Skhabitskiy
Nothing scheduled
K. Riazanovskyi
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