TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105611
Played Sep 10Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611711––––
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Oleksandr Osadchyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 2–5 Oleksandr Osadchyi Dmytro Khairov has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khairov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Osadchyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1537 vs Osadchyi 1528
Khairov
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 20% vs Osadchyi 40%
Osadchyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 50% vs Osadchyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov -3 · Osadchyi -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 1.80 / Osadchyi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khairov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105611
Khairov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Osadchyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 112 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKhairov2wins
AwayOsadchyi5wins
4 of 7 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov40%2 of 5
AwayOsadchyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov5Osadchyi2n = 7Khairov took 5 of 7
S2Khairov3Osadchyi4n = 7Osadchyi took 4 of 7
S3Khairov2Osadchyi5n = 7Osadchyi took 5 of 7
S4Khairov1Osadchyi3n = 4Osadchyi took 3 of 4
S5Khairov1Osadchyi3n = 4Osadchyi took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKhairovOsadchyiK − OBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.137.9−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovOsadchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 424 vs 440 / 85746.9%51.3%199 / 424 vs 440 / 857Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovKhairov 1.80/Osadchyi 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 8 · 09:35D. Khairov—111171052O. Osadchyi—491112113
WSep 7 · 09:00D. Khairov—1112116113O. Osadchyi—61481182
WSep 3 · 09:00D. Khairov—1111113O. Osadchyi—7410
LAug 30 · 11:50D. Khairov—11116862O. Osadchyi—741111113
LAug 24 · 05:00D. Khairov—117110O. Osadchyi—1311133
LAug 15 · 15:00D. Khairov—9990O. Osadchyi—1111113
LJul 29 · 12:05D. Khairov—11341152O. Osadchyi—711115113
D. Khairov10
LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101LSep 10 · 06:05D. Khairov2.38111061152V. Vietrov1.53512111113LSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113LSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov2.2011911123A. Troyan1.619115101WSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 10 · 10:35O. Osadchyi4.00591161A. Troyan1.2211119113LSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651WSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113WSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113
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