TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105710
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114211611911––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 65 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 23–20 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-20 in 43
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1424 vs Khairov 1523
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 40% vs Khairov 20%
Volynets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 20% vs Khairov 50%
Khairov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -1 · Khairov -3
Khairov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Volynets) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.57 / Khairov 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Volynets)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13105710
Volynets1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 87 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it65% 56 of 86
Khairov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets7wins
AwayKhairov3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets100%3 of 3
AwayKhairov42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets3Khairov7n = 10Khairov took 7 of 10
S2Volynets3Khairov7n = 10Khairov took 7 of 10
S3Volynets8Khairov2n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S4Volynets6Khairov0n = 6Volynets took 6 of 6
S5Volynets3Khairov1n = 4Volynets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsKhairovV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.3+1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 626 vs 199 / 42554.2%46.8%339 / 626 vs 199 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsVolynets 1.57/Khairov 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 08:35O. Volynets—119111152D. Khairov—131189113
LSep 7 · 11:00O. Volynets—7960D. Khairov—1111113
WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets—81111113D. Khairov—116951
LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets—4750D. Khairov—1111113
WAug 26 · 09:35O. Volynets—951111113D. Khairov—11118782
WAug 20 · 09:35O. Volynets—111111113D. Khairov—913951
WJun 8 · 11:35O. Volynets—1111113D. Khairov—4970
WJun 3 · 07:05O. Volynets—1111113D. Khairov—6860
WJun 1 · 10:35O. Volynets—1071111113D. Khairov—12116762
WMay 21 · 06:05O. Volynets—571112133D. Khairov—1111810112
O. Volynets10
LSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123LSep 10 · 08:05O. Volynets1.83107100V. Vietrov1.831211123WSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113LSep 8 · 12:05A. Troyan1.611111113O. Volynets2.208660WSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560LSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930LSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960
D. Khairov10
LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113LSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113LSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101LSep 10 · 06:05D. Khairov2.38111061152V. Vietrov1.53512111113LSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113LSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov2.2011911123A. Troyan1.619115101WSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960
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