TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111103
Played Sep 11Finished
Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711811111––
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyrylo Riazanovskyi above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 67 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 62.8%
67 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Riazanovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Riazanovskyi 1306 vs Korniichuk 1331
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Riazanovskyi 0% vs Korniichuk 60%
Korniichuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Riazanovskyi 10% vs Korniichuk 60%
Korniichuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Riazanovskyi -5 · Korniichuk +2
Riazanovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Riazanovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riazanovskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRiazanovskyi 1.73 / Korniichuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Riazanovskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13111103
Riazanovskyi1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Korniichuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRiazanovskyiKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 91 vs 281 / 50844%55.3%40 / 91 vs 281 / 508Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiazanovskyiRiazanovskyi 1.73/Korniichuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Riazanovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Korniichuk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Riazanovskyi10
LSep 11 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.50911711113K. Riazanovskyi1.5011911682LSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123LJun 24 · 17:50K. Klymenko1.831111113K. Riazanovskyi1.835970LJun 24 · 16:50K. Riazanovskyi1.73111051392V. Melnykov2.008121111113LJun 24 · 15:50O. Leonenko1.9111149113K. Riazanovskyi1.806121151LJun 3 · 21:20O. Leonenko2.001911113K. Riazanovskyi1.7317770WJun 3 · 20:20A. Kurtenko1.618680K. Riazanovskyi2.201111113LJun 3 · 18:50K. Klymenko2.201112113K. Riazanovskyi1.6141070
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113LSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.6313101181V. Korniichuk1.44111213113LSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113WSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113
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