TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111093
Played Sep 11Finished
Denys Khavanskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111012––––
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Khavanskyi above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 58.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Denys Khavanskyi 1–1 Vitalii Korniichuk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Khavanskyi 1285 vs Korniichuk 1318
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Korniichuk 60%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khavanskyi 60% vs Korniichuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khavanskyi +1 · Korniichuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhavanskyi 2.25 / Korniichuk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Korniichuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111093
Khavanskyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 23 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Korniichuk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 73 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it85% 57 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKhavanskyi1wins
AwayKorniichuk1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKhavanskyiKorniichukKhavanskyi − KorniichukBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match42.043.5−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhavanskyiKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 300 vs 280 / 50751.7%55.2%155 / 300 vs 280 / 507Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKhavanskyi 2.25/Korniichuk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi—871141V. Korniichuk—11114113
WSep 1 · 11:35D. Khavanskyi—716911113V. Korniichuk—111411682
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770WSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271WSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123WSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113WSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123WSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113WSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113LSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 11 · 11:35K. Riazanovskyi1.73117811V. Korniichuk2.0071111113WSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113LSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.6313101181V. Korniichuk1.44111213113LSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113WSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113
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