TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111073
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117117––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 58.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 2–1 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1322 vs Khavanskyi 1272
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 80% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Mytsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 60% vs Khavanskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +1 · Khavanskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.57 / Khavanskyi 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111073
Mytsyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 169 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it88% 82 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it77% 127 of 164
Khavanskyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 23 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMytsyk2wins
AwayKhavanskyi1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMytsyk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk2Khavanskyi1n = 3Mytsyk took 2 of 3
S2Mytsyk2Khavanskyi1n = 3Mytsyk took 2 of 3
S3Mytsyk2Khavanskyi1n = 3Mytsyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMytsykKhavanskyiM − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.734.3+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1072 vs 155 / 30149.6%51.5%532 / 1072 vs 155 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.57/Khavanskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk—1311101172D. Khavanskyi—158127113
WOct 22 · 09:00O. Mytsyk—11711113D. Khavanskyi—411881
WOct 17 · 06:30O. Mytsyk—1111113D. Khavanskyi—5860
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752WSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113WSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271WSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123WSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113WSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123WSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113WSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113LSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780
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