TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111251
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161113114112––
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 62.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 32–56 Vladyslav Stukalov Oleh Miklukha has won 32 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:47What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stukalov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-56 in 88
Stukalov
Wrong
gap of 24 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1205 vs Stukalov 1195
Miklukha
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 60% vs Stukalov 20%
Miklukha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 50% vs Stukalov 30%
Miklukha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +3 · Stukalov -2
Miklukha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stukalov) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.25 / Stukalov 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Stukalov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111251
Miklukha2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 44 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Stukalov1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 107 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it79% 78 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha4wins
AwayStukalov6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha66.7%4 of 6
AwayStukalov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha6Stukalov4n = 10Miklukha took 6 of 10
S2Miklukha3Stukalov7n = 10Stukalov took 7 of 10
S3Miklukha4Stukalov6n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S4Miklukha5Stukalov4n = 9Miklukha took 5 of 9
S5Miklukha1Stukalov2n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaStukalovM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.440.3+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 453 vs 413 / 82046.8%50.4%212 / 453 vs 413 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovMiklukha 2.25/Stukalov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Miklukha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 07:00O. Miklukha—771161V. Stukalov—11119113
LAug 18 · 07:00O. Miklukha—1171011102V. Stukalov—511124123
WAug 13 · 11:50O. Miklukha—15114113V. Stukalov—1381171
LJul 28 · 09:00O. Miklukha—128111162V. Stukalov—141197113
WJul 20 · 07:00O. Miklukha—118119113V. Stukalov—51191172
LJun 22 · 07:35O. Miklukha—13980V. Stukalov—1511113
LJun 17 · 13:10O. Miklukha—991181V. Stukalov—11116113
LJun 10 · 08:30O. Miklukha—1161081V. Stukalov—71112113
WMay 18 · 07:00O. Miklukha—11115113V. Stukalov—681141
WMay 1 · 09:00O. Miklukha—111112113V. Stukalov—791471
O. Miklukha10
WSep 11 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.50911711113K. Riazanovskyi1.5011911682WSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271LSep 11 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.6313101181V. Korniichuk1.44111213113LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113
V. Stukalov10
LSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113WSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123WSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113WSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113
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