TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122597
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012111911118114
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:02 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 66.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 5–22 Maksym Stetsenko Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:02What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stetsenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-22 in 27
Stetsenko
Wrong
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1334 vs Stetsenko 1330
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 80% vs Stetsenko 0%
Mytsyk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 70% vs Stetsenko 20%
Mytsyk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +2 · Stetsenko -5
Stetsenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 2.63 / Stetsenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Stetsenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122597
Mytsyk2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 49 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Stetsenko1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 114 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it99% 67 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it89% 88 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk2wins
AwayStetsenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk33.3%1 of 3
AwayStetsenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S2Mytsyk4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S3Mytsyk6Stetsenko4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk2Stetsenko7n = 9Stetsenko took 7 of 9
S5Mytsyk1Stetsenko2n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykStetsenkoM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.741.0−5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1068 vs 438 / 84449.8%51.9%532 / 1068 vs 438 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoMytsyk 2.63/Stetsenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk4211115692M. Stetsenko47771111113
LSep 4 · 06:35O. Mytsyk336111241M. Stetsenko4311714113
LSep 3 · 08:50O. Mytsyk30951151M. Stetsenko4211119113
LSep 2 · 13:30O. Mytsyk4181111111M. Stetsenko4611139133
WAug 31 · 12:20O. Mytsyk38311112113M. Stetsenko39116111012
LAug 26 · 12:00O. Mytsyk3911711101M. Stetsenko4481113123
LAug 23 · 11:10O. Mytsyk31851351M. Stetsenko44111111113
LAug 20 · 12:20O. Mytsyk4076111152M. Stetsenko45111139113
WAug 19 · 13:00O. Mytsyk331111113M. Stetsenko238690
LAug 17 · 10:50O. Mytsyk30671161M. Stetsenko3711114113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770WSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752WSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113WSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113LSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790LSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi1.671114115113M. Stetsenko2.1081671162LSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870LSep 9 · 18:00M. Stetsenko1.801061191V. Smyk1.9112116113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko1.73511118113O. Ovsiienko2.0011661152LSep 9 · 15:00M. Stetsenko2.208790O. Tymofeev1.611111113LSep 9 · 13:30M. Stetsenko2.75641181A. Kovalenko1.4011117113WSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261
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