TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106048
Played Sep 10Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181416117511116
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFedir Voinarovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
1181416117511116
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 12–7 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Voinarovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Voinarovskyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1447 vs Stetsenko 1358
Voinarovskyi
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Stetsenko 20%
Voinarovskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 50% vs Stetsenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi +1 · Stetsenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Voinarovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 1.67 / Stetsenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13106048
Voinarovskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Stetsenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 100 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back25% 32 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi8wins
AwayStetsenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyi88.9%8 of 9
AwayStetsenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi9Stetsenko1n = 10Voinarovskyi took 9 of 10
S2Voinarovskyi7Stetsenko3n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Voinarovskyi6Stetsenko4n = 10Voinarovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Voinarovskyi2Stetsenko4n = 6Stetsenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiStetsenkoV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.931.5+6.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 349 vs 438 / 84251%52%178 / 349 vs 438 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiVoinarovskyi 1.67/Stetsenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi—1114115113M. Stetsenko—81671162
LSep 9 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi—6111261M. Stetsenko—11814113
LAug 27 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi—116891M. Stetsenko—31111113
WFeb 16 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi—1111123M. Stetsenko—74100
WNov 10 · 05:30F. Voinarovskyi—1111113M. Stetsenko—6760
WNov 8 · 11:00F. Voinarovskyi—111198113M. Stetsenko—86111192
WNov 1 · 07:00F. Voinarovskyi—1111113M. Stetsenko—4470
WOct 27 · 05:30F. Voinarovskyi—1112113M. Stetsenko—51040
WOct 25 · 06:30F. Voinarovskyi—12113113M. Stetsenko—1081141
WOct 24 · 10:35F. Voinarovskyi—12311113M. Stetsenko—1011771
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123LSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113WSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102LSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112WSep 9 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.806940F. Voinarovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 16:00V. Smyk1.7398111122F. Voinarovskyi2.00111138113LSep 9 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.40119117113F. Voinarovskyi2.7581131152LSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113LSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790LSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870LSep 9 · 18:00M. Stetsenko1.801061191V. Smyk1.9112116113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko1.73511118113O. Ovsiienko2.0011661152LSep 9 · 15:00M. Stetsenko2.208790O. Tymofeev1.611111113LSep 9 · 13:30M. Stetsenko2.75641181A. Kovalenko1.4011117113WSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261WSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113WSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113
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