TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100719
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511116116811115
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 54.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 56–67 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Maksym Stetsenko has won 56 of their 123 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-67 in 123
Ovsiienko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1389 vs Ovsiienko 1383
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 60% vs Ovsiienko 40%
Stetsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 70% vs Ovsiienko 40%
Stetsenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko -2 · Ovsiienko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 1.73 / Ovsiienko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stetsenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100719
Stetsenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 127 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it99% 76 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it89% 100 of 112
Ovsiienko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 80 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko8wins
AwayOvsiienko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenko100%6 of 6
AwayOvsiienko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko6Ovsiienko4n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S2Stetsenko8Ovsiienko2n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S3Stetsenko7Ovsiienko3n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S4Stetsenko3Ovsiienko3n = 6split evenly
S5Stetsenko2Ovsiienko1n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoOvsiienkoS − OBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.435.2+5.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 841 vs 445 / 85552.2%52.1%439 / 841 vs 445 / 855Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoStetsenko 1.73/Ovsiienko 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:50M. Stetsenko—1111123O. Ovsiienko—86100
WAug 30 · 19:00M. Stetsenko—1111123O. Ovsiienko—54100
WAug 26 · 17:30M. Stetsenko—81111113O. Ovsiienko—116691
LAug 24 · 11:20M. Stetsenko—101030O. Ovsiienko—1212113
WAug 23 · 16:10M. Stetsenko—1413119123O. Ovsiienko—1611811102
WAug 20 · 07:50M. Stetsenko—1261110113O. Ovsiienko—101191282
LAug 19 · 19:00M. Stetsenko—111111762O. Ovsiienko—138411113
WAug 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko—11136113O. Ovsiienko—9111171
WAug 16 · 18:30M. Stetsenko—1111113O. Ovsiienko—9870
WAug 6 · 11:20M. Stetsenko—11118133O. Ovsiienko—3211111
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 9 · 15:00M. Stetsenko2.208790O. Tymofeev1.611111113LSep 9 · 13:30M. Stetsenko2.75641181A. Kovalenko1.4011117113WSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261WSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113WSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113WSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 9 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.255760A. Kovalenko1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:30V. Smyk1.531113113O. Ovsiienko2.3891190WSep 9 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.201112133O. Tymofeev1.61710110LSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652WSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113LSep 7 · 09:05O. Leonenko1.50791111113O. Ovsiienko2.5011119772WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113
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