TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100542
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61141111614121311
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeFedir Voinarovskyi to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 99 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Fedir Voinarovskyi at 65.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 7–11 Fedir Voinarovskyi Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1373 vs Voinarovskyi 1465
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 20% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 40% vs Voinarovskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko -3 · Voinarovskyi +2
Ovsiienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Voinarovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 2.63 / Voinarovskyi 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100542
Ovsiienko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 80 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Voinarovskyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 45 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvsiienko4wins
AwayVoinarovskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvsiienkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVoinarovskyi55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovsiienko1Voinarovskyi9n = 10Voinarovskyi took 9 of 10
S2Ovsiienko3Voinarovskyi7n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Ovsiienko4Voinarovskyi6n = 10Voinarovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Ovsiienko4Voinarovskyi2n = 6Ovsiienko took 4 of 6
S5Ovsiienko3Voinarovskyi1n = 4Ovsiienko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvsiienkoVoinarovskyiO − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.5−5.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 856 vs 177 / 34852%50.9%445 / 856 vs 177 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiOvsiienko 2.63/Voinarovskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 16 · 12:20O. Ovsiienko—6990F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
WMar 14 · 07:35O. Ovsiienko—781211113F. Voinarovskyi—111110982
WMar 9 · 08:20O. Ovsiienko—71111123F. Voinarovskyi—1195101
WNov 11 · 17:10O. Ovsiienko—761311113F. Voinarovskyi—111111692
WNov 10 · 09:30O. Ovsiienko—1211812113F. Voinarovskyi—149111072
LNov 3 · 07:30O. Ovsiienko—8290F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
LNov 1 · 12:30O. Ovsiienko—91270F. Voinarovskyi—1114113
LOct 27 · 09:30O. Ovsiienko—5680F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
LOct 25 · 11:00O. Ovsiienko—71210131F. Voinarovskyi—111012153
LOct 24 · 07:05O. Ovsiienko—11612572F. Voinarovskyi—6111011113
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko1.73511118113O. Ovsiienko2.0011661152LSep 9 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.255760A. Kovalenko1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:30V. Smyk1.531113113O. Ovsiienko2.3891190WSep 9 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.201112133O. Tymofeev1.61710110LSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652WSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113LSep 7 · 09:05O. Leonenko1.50791111113O. Ovsiienko2.5011119772WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 9 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.806940F. Voinarovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 16:00V. Smyk1.7398111122F. Voinarovskyi2.00111138113LSep 9 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.40119117113F. Voinarovskyi2.7581131152LSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100
Upcoming Matches
O. Ovsiienko1 of 4 neutral
F. Voinarovskyi
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