TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100500
Played Sep 9Finished
Anatolii Kovalenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911411––––
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 61.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 9–2 Fedir Voinarovskyi Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kovalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Kovalenko
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1389 vs Voinarovskyi 1454
Voinarovskyi
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 40% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 50% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +2 · Voinarovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kovalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.80 / Voinarovskyi 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kovalenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100500
Kovalenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 75 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it66% 49 of 74
Voinarovskyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 28 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko9wins
AwayVoinarovskyi1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKovalenko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayVoinarovskyi0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko7Voinarovskyi3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S2Kovalenko7Voinarovskyi3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S3Kovalenko7Voinarovskyi3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S4Kovalenko4Voinarovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Kovalenko4Voinarovskyi1n = 5Kovalenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoVoinarovskyiK − VBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.336.3+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 514 vs 176 / 34753.3%50.7%274 / 514 vs 176 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.80/Voinarovskyi 1.91
Miss
What we said
55%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 6 · 05:05A. Kovalenko—9121110113F. Voinarovskyi—111091252
WFeb 9 · 11:00A. Kovalenko—121165113F. Voinarovskyi—109111172
WDec 20 · 11:50A. Kovalenko—1111113F. Voinarovskyi—9790
WDec 15 · 11:50A. Kovalenko—111012113F. Voinarovskyi—5121041
LNov 27 · 07:35A. Kovalenko—11119982F. Voinarovskyi—831111113
WNov 18 · 13:10A. Kovalenko—8101111113F. Voinarovskyi—11125942
WNov 11 · 15:10A. Kovalenko—11712113F. Voinarovskyi—7111051
WNov 3 · 08:30A. Kovalenko—111166113F. Voinarovskyi—54111172
WOct 27 · 12:00A. Kovalenko—1111113F. Voinarovskyi—8870
WOct 25 · 08:30A. Kovalenko—71111113F. Voinarovskyi—115981
A. Kovalenko10
WSep 9 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.255760A. Kovalenko1.571111113WSep 9 · 13:30M. Stetsenko2.75641181A. Kovalenko1.4011117113LSep 9 · 12:30V. Smyk2.101111113A. Kovalenko1.677790LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123WSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 9 · 16:00V. Smyk1.7398111122F. Voinarovskyi2.00111138113LSep 9 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.40119117113F. Voinarovskyi2.7581131152LSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123
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