TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106225
Played Sep 10Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711811––––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 69.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 0–4 Andrii Martyniuk Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1461 vs Martyniuk 1469
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Martyniuk 40%
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 50% vs Martyniuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi +1 · Martyniuk -3
Martyniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 3.00 / Martyniuk 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Martyniuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13106225
Voinarovskyi3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 30 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Martyniuk1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi0wins
AwayMartyniuk4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMartyniuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi0Martyniuk4n = 4Martyniuk took 4 of 4
S2Voinarovskyi2Martyniuk2n = 4split evenly
S3Voinarovskyi0Martyniuk4n = 4Martyniuk took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiMartyniukV − MBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match29.237.5−8.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 350 vs 162 / 31650.9%51.3%178 / 350 vs 162 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukVoinarovskyi 3.00/Martyniuk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi—6113111A. Martyniuk—11711133
LAug 5 · 08:35F. Voinarovskyi—81191172A. Martyniuk—115114113
LAug 4 · 17:10F. Voinarovskyi—5980A. Martyniuk—1111113
LFeb 27 · 07:35F. Voinarovskyi—5760A. Martyniuk—1111113
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102LSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112WSep 9 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.806940F. Voinarovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 16:00V. Smyk1.7398111122F. Voinarovskyi2.00111138113LSep 9 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.40119117113F. Voinarovskyi2.7581131152LSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 10 · 07:50A. Martyniuk1.73771111113O. Ovsiienko2.0011114162LSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372LSep 7 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.911161111113A. Martyniuk1.8071113952LSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861
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