TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089367
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Shyshman
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1176111113119115
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Shyshman above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 95 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Shyshman 5–3 Andrii Martyniuk Andrii Martyniuk has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Martyniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Shyshman
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shyshman 1512 vs Martyniuk 1489
Shyshman
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shyshman 40% vs Martyniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shyshman 50% vs Martyniuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shyshman -1 · Martyniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShyshman 1.91 / Martyniuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Martyniuk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13089367
Shyshman1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog58% won 7 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back57% 4 of 7
Martyniuk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 53 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeShyshman5wins
AwayMartyniuk3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderShyshman leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShyshman100%4 of 4
AwayMartyniuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shyshman4Martyniuk4n = 8split evenly
S2Shyshman4Martyniuk4n = 8split evenly
S3Shyshman4Martyniuk4n = 8split evenly
S4Shyshman3Martyniuk3n = 6split evenly
S5Shyshman3Martyniuk1n = 4Shyshman took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricShyshmanMartyniukS − MBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match39.040.8−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShyshmanMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 354 vs 162 / 31450.9%51.6%180 / 354 vs 162 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukShyshman 1.91/Martyniuk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shyshman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 5 · 06:05O. Shyshman—571151A. Martyniuk—11116113
WJul 18 · 13:30O. Shyshman—1111113A. Martyniuk—5540
LNov 11 · 09:35O. Shyshman—3790A. Martyniuk—1111113
LNov 7 · 09:00O. Shyshman—101211832A. Martyniuk—1210911113
WJun 17 · 06:30O. Shyshman—135814113A. Martyniuk—1111111292
WMay 20 · 07:00O. Shyshman—114911133A. Martyniuk—611119112
WMay 4 · 06:50O. Shyshman—41311113A. Martyniuk—1111881
WMar 27 · 11:30O. Shyshman—111198113A. Martyniuk—99111172
O. Shyshman10
LSep 7 · 10:05O. Leonenko2.381111133O. Shyshman1.5343110WSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113WSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LAug 5 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.6111711992F. Voinarovskyi2.20411611113WAug 5 · 10:05O. Osadchyi2.0069100O. Shyshman1.731111123WAug 5 · 08:05S. Solomko3.251780O. Shyshman1.331111113WAug 5 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.91141188113O. Karpenko1.80128111172LAug 5 · 06:05A. Martyniuk2.0011116113O. Shyshman1.73571151LJul 19 · 11:50O. Shyshman2.00911871O. Tymofeev1.7311811113
A. Martyniuk10
LSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052WAug 5 · 06:05A. Martyniuk2.0011116113O. Shyshman1.73571151
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