TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362500
Played Aug 5Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117611115––
Oleksandr Shyshman
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Shyshman to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Oleksandr Shyshman below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Shyshman at 56.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 3–5 Oleksandr Shyshman Andrii Martyniuk has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shyshman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Shyshman
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1613 vs Shyshman 1531
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 60% vs Shyshman 40%
Martyniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 60% vs Shyshman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +1 · Shyshman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Shyshman) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyshman form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 2.00 / Shyshman 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Shyshman)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362500
Martyniuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Shyshman1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite38% won 12 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it50% 8 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMartyniuk3wins
AwayShyshman5wins
4 of 8 to a deciderShyshman leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk75%3 of 4
AwayShyshman100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk4Shyshman4n = 8split evenly
S2Martyniuk4Shyshman4n = 8split evenly
S3Martyniuk4Shyshman4n = 8split evenly
S4Martyniuk3Shyshman3n = 6split evenly
S5Martyniuk1Shyshman3n = 4Shyshman took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMartyniukShyshmanM − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.839.0+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukShyshmanBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 279 vs 181 / 36053.1%50.3%148 / 279 vs 181 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyshmanMartyniuk 2.00/Shyshman 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Shyshman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 5 · 06:05A. Martyniuk—11116113O. Shyshman—571151
LJul 18 · 13:30A. Martyniuk—5540O. Shyshman—1111113
WNov 11 · 09:35A. Martyniuk—1111113O. Shyshman—3790
WNov 7 · 09:00A. Martyniuk—1210911113O. Shyshman—101211832
LJun 17 · 06:30A. Martyniuk—1111111292O. Shyshman—135814113
LMay 20 · 07:00A. Martyniuk—611119112O. Shyshman—114911133
LMay 4 · 06:50A. Martyniuk—1111881O. Shyshman—41311113
LMar 27 · 11:30A. Martyniuk—99111172O. Shyshman—111198113
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052WAug 29 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.2531111113O. Osadchyi3.75117881LAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko2.1081611123A. Martyniuk1.6711149101LAug 29 · 15:30A. Martyniuk1.53991151O. Tymofeev2.3811119113
O. Shyshman10
LSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113WSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LAug 5 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.6111711992F. Voinarovskyi2.20411611113WAug 5 · 10:05O. Osadchyi2.0069100O. Shyshman1.731111123WAug 5 · 08:05S. Solomko3.251780O. Shyshman1.331111113WAug 5 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.91141188113O. Karpenko1.80128111172LJul 19 · 11:50O. Shyshman2.00911871O. Tymofeev1.7311811113LJul 19 · 10:20O. Shyshman1.801112891B. Zaika1.9171411113WJul 19 · 08:50O. Shyshman1.3311119113S. Solomko3.25171171LJul 19 · 07:20O. Shyshman1.5011970E. Populovskyi2.501311113
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