TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362733
Played Aug 5Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111012––––
Oleksandr Shyshman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Shyshman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Oleksandr Shyshman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Shyshman at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 1–2 Oleksandr Shyshman Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shyshman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1579 vs Shyshman 1527
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 40% vs Shyshman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 50% vs Shyshman 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +1 · Shyshman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shyshman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyshman form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.00 / Shyshman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shyshman)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12362733
Osadchyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 117 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Shyshman1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite36% won 10 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it46% 6 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOsadchyi1wins
AwayShyshman2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderShyshman leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi1Shyshman2n = 3Shyshman took 2 of 3
S2Osadchyi1Shyshman2n = 3Shyshman took 2 of 3
S3Osadchyi2Shyshman1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricOsadchyiShyshmanO − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.040.0−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiShyshmanBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 863 vs 182 / 36050.2%50.6%433 / 863 vs 182 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyshmanOsadchyi 2.00/Shyshman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shyshman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shyshman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 5 · 10:05O. Osadchyi—69100O. Shyshman—1111123
LJul 19 · 05:50O. Osadchyi—11611992O. Shyshman—811911113
WJul 18 · 15:30O. Osadchyi—81111103O. Shyshman—117991
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141
O. Shyshman10
LSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113WSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LAug 5 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.6111711992F. Voinarovskyi2.20411611113WAug 5 · 08:05S. Solomko3.251780O. Shyshman1.331111113WAug 5 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.91141188113O. Karpenko1.80128111172LAug 5 · 06:05A. Martyniuk2.0011116113O. Shyshman1.73571151LJul 19 · 11:50O. Shyshman2.00911871O. Tymofeev1.7311811113LJul 19 · 10:20O. Shyshman1.801112891B. Zaika1.9171411113WJul 19 · 08:50O. Shyshman1.3311119113S. Solomko3.25171171LJul 19 · 07:20O. Shyshman1.5011970E. Populovskyi2.501311113
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