TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105757
Played Sep 10Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711711114111116
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 80 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 56.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 0–1 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Andrii Martyniuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1479 vs Ovsiienko 1378
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 40% vs Ovsiienko 20%
Martyniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 40% vs Ovsiienko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk -2 · Ovsiienko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Martyniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 1.73 / Ovsiienko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Martyniuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105757
Martyniuk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Ovsiienko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 82 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMartyniuk0wins
AwayOvsiienko1wins
Ovsiienko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMartyniukOvsiienkoM − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 315 vs 445 / 85651.4%52%162 / 315 vs 445 / 856Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukMartyniuk 1.73/Ovsiienko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk—2950O. Ovsiienko—1111113
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113LSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372LSep 7 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.911161111113A. Martyniuk1.8071113952LSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102WSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112LSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko1.73511118113O. Ovsiienko2.0011661152LSep 9 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.255760A. Kovalenko1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:30V. Smyk1.531113113O. Ovsiienko2.3891190WSep 9 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.201112133O. Tymofeev1.61710110LSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652WSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113LSep 7 · 09:05O. Leonenko1.50791111113O. Ovsiienko2.5011119772WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113
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