TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126091
Played Sep 14Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119119116––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 56.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 59–124 Oleksandr Mytsyk Sergii Skhabitskiy has won 59 of their 183 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-124 in 183
Mytsyk
Wrong
gap of 65 in 183, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1455 vs Mytsyk 1414
Skhabitskiy
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 60% vs Mytsyk 80%
Mytsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 40% vs Mytsyk 80%
Mytsyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy +1 · Mytsyk +3
Mytsyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 2.20 / Mytsyk 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Mytsyk)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126091
Skhabitskiy2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 95 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Mytsyk1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 167 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it88% 77 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it78% 124 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy7wins
AwayMytsyk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy85.7%6 of 7
AwayMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy7Mytsyk3n = 10Skhabitskiy took 7 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy6Mytsyk4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy6Mytsyk4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy4Mytsyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Skhabitskiy2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyMytsykS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.838.0+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 1066 vs 533 / 106944.5%49.9%474 / 1066 vs 533 / 1069Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykSkhabitskiy 2.20/Mytsyk 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy4071111113O. Mytsyk35119961
WAug 23 · 15:40S. Skhabitskiy47117117113O. Mytsyk4361191162
WAug 21 · 07:05S. Skhabitskiy4011117113O. Mytsyk34681191
WAug 20 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy351212113O. Mytsyk26101060
WAug 19 · 16:30S. Skhabitskiy50111378113O. Mytsyk45911111132
LAug 17 · 12:50S. Skhabitskiy164750O. Mytsyk331111113
WAug 16 · 13:30S. Skhabitskiy46111311113O. Mytsyk366111361
LAug 14 · 11:30S. Skhabitskiy4511914652O. Mytsyk527111211113
LAug 12 · 08:05S. Skhabitskiy3951111482O. Mytsyk43114611113
WAug 9 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy4011711113O. Mytsyk33611791
S. Skhabitskiy10
WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782WAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko2.633990S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 13 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.25915761O. Mytsyk1.57111311113WSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110LSep 13 · 14:30O. Mytsyk1.804960S. Baranskyi1.91111173WSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842WSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770WSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123
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