TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13123946
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101121311––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 54.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 11–10 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ovsiienko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1349 vs Ovsiienko 1435
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 60% vs Ovsiienko 100%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 70% vs Ovsiienko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -1 · Ovsiienko +5
Ovsiienko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ovsiienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 2.00 / Ovsiienko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13123946
Mytsyk2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 49 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Ovsiienko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 133 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it98% 85 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it85% 108 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk3wins
AwayOvsiienko7wins
8 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk75%3 of 4
AwayOvsiienko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk4Ovsiienko6n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Ovsiienko5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk3Ovsiienko7n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S4Mytsyk5Ovsiienko4n = 9Mytsyk took 5 of 9
S5Mytsyk3Ovsiienko5n = 8Ovsiienko took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykOvsiienkoM − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.643.5+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1069 vs 448 / 85949.9%52.2%533 / 1069 vs 448 / 859Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoMytsyk 2.00/Ovsiienko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:50O. Mytsyk35781191O. Ovsiienko4211119113
LAug 27 · 05:30O. Mytsyk4681191172O. Ovsiienko49119117113
WAug 26 · 13:30O. Mytsyk50119118113O. Ovsiienko3531161142
LAug 23 · 14:40O. Mytsyk1936100O. Ovsiienko341111123
LAug 21 · 08:05O. Mytsyk42311411132O. Ovsiienko54119118153
LAug 20 · 06:50O. Mytsyk45711611102O. Ovsiienko44116114123
LAug 19 · 15:30O. Mytsyk50111191092O. Ovsiienko45561112113
WAug 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk541481011113O. Ovsiienko46121112652
LAug 16 · 16:30O. Mytsyk4361111782O. Ovsiienko47118611113
WAug 12 · 07:05O. Mytsyk521112711113O. Ovsiienko3971411342
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 13 · 14:30O. Mytsyk1.804960S. Baranskyi1.91111173WSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842WSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770WSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752WSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113WSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113WSep 10 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.386810O. Ovsiienko1.531111113LSep 10 · 07:50A. Martyniuk1.73771111113O. Ovsiienko2.0011114162LSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102WSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112LSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko1.73511118113O. Ovsiienko2.0011661152LSep 9 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.255760A. Kovalenko1.571111113
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