TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106118
Played Sep 10Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811111––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 48 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 61.6%
48 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 10–17 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Ovsiienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Ovsiienko
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1403 vs Ovsiienko 1370
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 20% vs Ovsiienko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 40% vs Ovsiienko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -2 · Ovsiienko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Ovsiienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 2.38 / Ovsiienko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13106118
Klymenko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Ovsiienko1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 140 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it98% 87 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it84% 113 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko2wins
AwayOvsiienko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayOvsiienko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko3Ovsiienko7n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S2Klymenko2Ovsiienko8n = 10Ovsiienko took 8 of 10
S3Klymenko3Ovsiienko7n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S4Klymenko2Ovsiienko3n = 5Ovsiienko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoOvsiienkoK − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.836.7−6.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 858 vs 444 / 85551.6%51.9%443 / 858 vs 444 / 855Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoKlymenko 2.38/Ovsiienko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko—11139113O. Ovsiienko—3111191
LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko—8101181O. Ovsiienko—11128113
LSep 3 · 09:50K. Klymenko—11812562O. Ovsiienko—9111011113
LSep 2 · 14:00K. Klymenko—93110O. Ovsiienko—1111133
WAug 31 · 08:50K. Klymenko—11116113O. Ovsiienko—781161
LAug 27 · 09:30K. Klymenko—9850O. Ovsiienko—1111113
LAug 17 · 05:50K. Klymenko—5950O. Ovsiienko—1111113
LAug 13 · 07:50K. Klymenko—751161O. Ovsiienko—11116113
LAug 6 · 12:20K. Klymenko—41050O. Ovsiienko—1112113
LAug 3 · 04:30K. Klymenko—7980O. Ovsiienko—1111113
K. Klymenko10
LSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113WSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870LSep 7 · 11:05K. Klymenko2.10911121152O. Leonenko1.671113103113WSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 10 · 07:50A. Martyniuk1.73771111113O. Ovsiienko2.0011114162LSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102WSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112LSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko1.73511118113O. Ovsiienko2.0011661152LSep 9 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.255760A. Kovalenko1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:30V. Smyk1.531113113O. Ovsiienko2.3891190WSep 9 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.201112133O. Tymofeev1.61710110LSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113
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