TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126588
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9116111210511––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 64.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 5–22 Maksym Stetsenko Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-22 in 27
Stetsenko
Correct
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1365 vs Stetsenko 1358
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 20% vs Stetsenko 60%
Stetsenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 50% vs Stetsenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -4 · Stetsenko -1
Mytsyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 2.50 / Stetsenko 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Stetsenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126588
Mytsyk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Stetsenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 116 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it99% 68 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it88% 89 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk2wins
AwayStetsenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk33.3%1 of 3
AwayStetsenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S2Mytsyk4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S3Mytsyk6Stetsenko4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk2Stetsenko7n = 9Stetsenko took 7 of 9
S5Mytsyk1Stetsenko2n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykStetsenkoM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.741.0−5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1072 vs 443 / 85349.7%51.9%533 / 1072 vs 443 / 853Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoMytsyk 2.50/Stetsenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk4211115692M. Stetsenko47771111113
LSep 4 · 06:35O. Mytsyk336111241M. Stetsenko4311714113
LSep 3 · 08:50O. Mytsyk30951151M. Stetsenko4211119113
LSep 2 · 13:30O. Mytsyk4181111111M. Stetsenko4611139133
WAug 31 · 12:20O. Mytsyk38311112113M. Stetsenko39116111012
LAug 26 · 12:00O. Mytsyk3911711101M. Stetsenko4481113123
LAug 23 · 11:10O. Mytsyk31851351M. Stetsenko44111111113
LAug 20 · 12:20O. Mytsyk4076111152M. Stetsenko45111139113
WAug 19 · 13:00O. Mytsyk331111113M. Stetsenko238690
LAug 17 · 10:50O. Mytsyk30671161M. Stetsenko3711114113
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113LSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy2.2071111113O. Mytsyk1.61119961WSep 13 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.25915761O. Mytsyk1.57111311113WSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110LSep 13 · 14:30O. Mytsyk1.804960S. Baranskyi1.91111173WSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842WSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 14 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.735830O. Ovsiienko2.001111113WSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113WSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113LSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790WSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113WSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 15:30S. Baranskyi1.611111123M. Stetsenko2.2065100WSep 13 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.573711121M. Stetsenko2.2511118143LSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842LSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850
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