TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122087
Played Sep 13Finished
Serhii Baranskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161151210––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Baranskyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Baranskyi above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 55 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 57.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Baranskyi 3–1 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Baranskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Baranskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baranskyi 1344 vs Stetsenko 1327
Baranskyi
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baranskyi 80% vs Stetsenko 20%
Baranskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baranskyi 70% vs Stetsenko 20%
Baranskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baranskyi +4 · Stetsenko +1
Baranskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Baranskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaranskyi 1.61 / Stetsenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Baranskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122087
Baranskyi1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 25 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Stetsenko2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 92 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBaranskyi3wins
AwayStetsenko1wins
Baranskyi leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baranskyi2Stetsenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Baranskyi2Stetsenko2n = 4split evenly
S3Baranskyi3Stetsenko1n = 4Baranskyi took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBaranskyiStetsenkoB − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.829.2+6.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranskyiStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 196 vs 439 / 84652%51.9%102 / 196 vs 439 / 846Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranskyiBaranskyi 1.61/Stetsenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Baranskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Baranskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 1 · 11:30S. Baranskyi269980M. Stetsenko331111113
WMar 1 · 18:40S. Baranskyi4181111113M. Stetsenko26112941
WJun 7 · 06:30S. Baranskyi4111712113M. Stetsenko347111061
WJun 1 · 17:10S. Baranskyi351211123M. Stetsenko24104100
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 13 · 14:30O. Mytsyk1.804960S. Baranskyi1.91111173WSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113WAug 30 · 16:10S. Baranskyi2.5091111133K. Klymenko1.501189111WAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 13 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.573711121M. Stetsenko2.2511118143LSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842LSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113LSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790LSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi1.671114115113M. Stetsenko2.1081671162LSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870LSep 9 · 18:00M. Stetsenko1.801061191V. Smyk1.9112116113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko1.73511118113O. Ovsiienko2.0011661152LSep 9 · 15:00M. Stetsenko2.208790O. Tymofeev1.611111113
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