TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126670
Played Sep 14Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511711––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 74.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 3–15 Maksym Stetsenko Vitalii Mukhin has won 3 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:42What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-15 in 18
Stetsenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1341 vs Stetsenko 1357
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 100% vs Stetsenko 60%
Mukhin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 90% vs Stetsenko 30%
Mukhin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +5 · Stetsenko -1
Mukhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 3.50 / Stetsenko 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Stetsenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126670
Mukhin3.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 25 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Stetsenko1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 116 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it99% 68 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it88% 89 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin0wins
AwayStetsenko10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin0%0 of 3
AwayStetsenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S2Mukhin2Stetsenko8n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S3Mukhin2Stetsenko8n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S4Mukhin2Stetsenko3n = 5Stetsenko took 3 of 5
S5Mukhin0Stetsenko4n = 4Stetsenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinStetsenkoM − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.339.9−7.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 311 vs 442 / 85152.1%51.9%162 / 311 vs 442 / 851Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoMukhin 3.50/Stetsenko 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin219570M. Stetsenko331111113
LJun 21 · 13:40V. Mukhin2665150M. Stetsenko391111173
LJun 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin167630M. Stetsenko331111113
LJun 10 · 06:00V. Mukhin2381050M. Stetsenko341112113
LJun 8 · 07:30V. Mukhin3976111142M. Stetsenko39111133113
LJun 4 · 06:35V. Mukhin46111291132M. Stetsenko49814115113
LJun 1 · 07:30V. Mukhin47111186112M. Stetsenko52891111133
LMay 27 · 08:05V. Mukhin36811981M. Stetsenko4011711113
LMay 19 · 08:05V. Mukhin225980M. Stetsenko331111113
LMay 18 · 04:30V. Mukhin47117111172M. Stetsenko47711513113
V. Mukhin10
WSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632WSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090WSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972WSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771WSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860WSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351LSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790WSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113WSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 15:30S. Baranskyi1.611111123M. Stetsenko2.2065100WSep 13 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.573711121M. Stetsenko2.2511118143LSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842LSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113LSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790LSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi1.671114115113M. Stetsenko2.1081671162
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.