TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126498
Played Sep 14Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 70.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 20–5 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-5 in 25
Klymenko
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1393 vs Stetsenko 1342
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 20% vs Stetsenko 60%
Stetsenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 30% vs Stetsenko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -4 · Stetsenko +2
Klymenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.36 / Stetsenko 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Klymenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13126498
Klymenko1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 110 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it78% 77 of 99
Stetsenko3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 93 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko8wins
AwayStetsenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayStetsenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko8Stetsenko2n = 10Klymenko took 8 of 10
S2Klymenko7Stetsenko3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S3Klymenko7Stetsenko3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S4Klymenko1Stetsenko2n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoStetsenkoK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.729.0+6.7per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 853 vs 441 / 85051.6%51.9%440 / 853 vs 441 / 850Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.36/Stetsenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko331111113M. Stetsenko248790
WSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko331111113M. Stetsenko227870
WSep 4 · 11:05K. Klymenko361111143M. Stetsenko2668120
WSep 3 · 11:50K. Klymenko331111113M. Stetsenko192980
LSep 2 · 19:00K. Klymenko2486100M. Stetsenko341111123
WAug 31 · 05:50K. Klymenko331111113M. Stetsenko123630
WAug 17 · 11:50K. Klymenko351311113M. Stetsenko2311930
WAug 14 · 10:30K. Klymenko44118113113M. Stetsenko3771171112
WAug 6 · 09:20K. Klymenko541311613113M. Stetsenko53158111182
LJul 23 · 06:20K. Klymenko321161051M. Stetsenko4061112113
K. Klymenko10
LSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113LSep 10 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.386810O. Ovsiienko1.531111113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113WSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870LSep 7 · 11:05K. Klymenko2.10911121152O. Leonenko1.671113103113WSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113WSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 15:30S. Baranskyi1.611111123M. Stetsenko2.2065100WSep 13 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.573711121M. Stetsenko2.2511118143LSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842LSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113LSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790LSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi1.671114115113M. Stetsenko2.1081671162LSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870
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