TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126410
Played Sep 14Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811311––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 49 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 58–70 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Maksym Stetsenko has won 58 of their 128 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:44What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stetsenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-70 in 128
Ovsiienko
Correct
gap of 12 in 128, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1370 vs Ovsiienko 1397
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 80% vs Ovsiienko 40%
Stetsenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 50% vs Ovsiienko 70%
Ovsiienko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko +2 · Ovsiienko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 1.73 / Ovsiienko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stetsenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126410
Stetsenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 116 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it99% 68 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it88% 89 of 101
Ovsiienko2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko6wins
AwayOvsiienko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayOvsiienko42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko3Ovsiienko7n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S2Stetsenko7Ovsiienko3n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S3Stetsenko7Ovsiienko3n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S4Stetsenko3Ovsiienko4n = 7Ovsiienko took 4 of 7
S5Stetsenko2Ovsiienko1n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoOvsiienkoS − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.737.4+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 852 vs 450 / 86452%52.1%443 / 852 vs 450 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoStetsenko 1.73/Ovsiienko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko47101511113O. Ovsiienko371213661
LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko29116571O. Ovsiienko4181111113
WSep 9 · 16:30M. Stetsenko46511118113O. Ovsiienko3911661152
LSep 3 · 05:50M. Stetsenko3947111162O. Ovsiienko47111159113
LSep 2 · 17:30M. Stetsenko358111241O. Ovsiienko4411914103
WAug 31 · 07:50M. Stetsenko341111123O. Ovsiienko2486100
WAug 30 · 19:00M. Stetsenko341111123O. Ovsiienko1954100
WAug 26 · 17:30M. Stetsenko4181111113O. Ovsiienko32116691
LAug 24 · 11:20M. Stetsenko23101030O. Ovsiienko351212113
WAug 23 · 16:10M. Stetsenko591413119123O. Ovsiienko561611811102
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113WSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113LSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790WSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113WSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 15:30S. Baranskyi1.611111123M. Stetsenko2.2065100WSep 13 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.573711121M. Stetsenko2.2511118143LSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842LSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113WSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113LSep 13 · 18:30S. Baranskyi1.731111113O. Ovsiienko2.004980LSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110WSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113WSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113WSep 10 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.386810O. Ovsiienko1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Stetsenko
O. Ovsiienko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.