TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126365
Played Sep 14Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181194111012511
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 15–12 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-12 in 27
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1453 vs Stetsenko 1370
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 60% vs Stetsenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 50% vs Stetsenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy +3 · Stetsenko +1
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 1.83 / Stetsenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126365
Skhabitskiy1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Stetsenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy4wins
AwayStetsenko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy40%2 of 5
AwayStetsenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Skhabitskiy5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Skhabitskiy5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Skhabitskiy4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S5Skhabitskiy2Stetsenko3n = 5Stetsenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyStetsenkoSkhabitskiy − StetsenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.541.3+0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 1068 vs 443 / 85244.5%52%475 / 1068 vs 443 / 852Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiySkhabitskiy 1.83/Stetsenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy41111141052M. Stetsenko51891112113
LAug 30 · 17:30S. Skhabitskiy31119831M. Stetsenko4071111113
WAug 27 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy50711118133M. Stetsenko45119311112
LAug 24 · 06:20S. Skhabitskiy4059111142M. Stetsenko47111195113
WAug 23 · 17:40S. Skhabitskiy4112711113M. Stetsenko311011551
WAug 20 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy45481111113M. Stetsenko3511114362
LAug 19 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy4811119982M. Stetsenko47951111113
LAug 17 · 06:20S. Skhabitskiy4213111081M. Stetsenko4415612113
LAug 16 · 17:30S. Skhabitskiy354611141M. Stetsenko4011112163
WAug 14 · 06:00S. Skhabitskiy4211119113M. Stetsenko33791161
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 14 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.105990S. Skhabitskiy1.671111113WSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy2.2071111113O. Mytsyk1.61119961WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113LSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790WSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113WSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 15:30S. Baranskyi1.611111123M. Stetsenko2.2065100WSep 13 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.573711121M. Stetsenko2.2511118143LSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842LSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850LSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113WAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831
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