TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126388
Played Sep 14Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911911––––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 58.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 19–22 Sergii Skhabitskiy Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skhabitskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-22 in 41
Skhabitskiy
Correct
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1393 vs Skhabitskiy 1455
Skhabitskiy
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 20% vs Skhabitskiy 60%
Skhabitskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 30% vs Skhabitskiy 50%
Skhabitskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +1 · Skhabitskiy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skhabitskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 2.10 / Skhabitskiy 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126388
Klymenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 60 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Skhabitskiy1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 96 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko4wins
AwaySkhabitskiy6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko50%2 of 4
AwaySkhabitskiy66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko4Skhabitskiy6n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S2Klymenko5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S3Klymenko3Skhabitskiy7n = 10Skhabitskiy took 7 of 10
S4Klymenko2Skhabitskiy6n = 8Skhabitskiy took 6 of 8
S5Klymenko3Skhabitskiy1n = 4Klymenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoSkhabitskiyK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.140.0−5.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 853 vs 474 / 106651.6%44.5%440 / 853 vs 474 / 1066Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyKlymenko 2.10/Skhabitskiy 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 06:35K. Klymenko33811771S. Skhabitskiy4211911113
LAug 17 · 07:20K. Klymenko3911511842S. Skhabitskiy49911711113
LAug 14 · 05:00K. Klymenko24114631S. Skhabitskiy4181111113
LAug 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko2341090S. Skhabitskiy341112113
WAug 6 · 10:20K. Klymenko3911116113S. Skhabitskiy32971151
WJul 29 · 09:30K. Klymenko47511119113S. Skhabitskiy4011761152
LJul 23 · 11:50K. Klymenko186480S. Skhabitskiy331111113
LJul 20 · 11:30K. Klymenko27841141S. Skhabitskiy3911116113
WJul 16 · 07:05K. Klymenko40611111113S. Skhabitskiy4511511992
WJul 15 · 05:00K. Klymenko51111199113S. Skhabitskiy4578111182
K. Klymenko10
LSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113WSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790LSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113LSep 10 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.386810O. Ovsiienko1.531111113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113WSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870LSep 7 · 11:05K. Klymenko2.10911121152O. Leonenko1.671113103113WSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113
S. Skhabitskiy10
LSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113WSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy2.2071111113O. Mytsyk1.61119961WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782
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