TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122269
Played Sep 13Finished
Serhii Baranskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119118––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:22 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Baranskyi to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Baranskyi above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 60.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Baranskyi 4–2 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Baranskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Baranskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baranskyi 1357 vs Ovsiienko 1376
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baranskyi 100% vs Ovsiienko 60%
Baranskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baranskyi 70% vs Ovsiienko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baranskyi +5 · Ovsiienko -2
Baranskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Baranskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baranskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaranskyi 1.73 / Ovsiienko 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Baranskyi)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122269
Baranskyi1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 25 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Ovsiienko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBaranskyi4wins
AwayOvsiienko2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderBaranskyi leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaranskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOvsiienko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baranskyi1Ovsiienko5n = 6Ovsiienko took 5 of 6
S2Baranskyi4Ovsiienko2n = 6Baranskyi took 4 of 6
S3Baranskyi6Ovsiienko0n = 6Baranskyi took 6 of 6
S4Baranskyi4Ovsiienko1n = 5Baranskyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricBaranskyiOvsiienkoB − OBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match41.238.2+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranskyiOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 199 vs 448 / 86152.8%52%105 / 199 vs 448 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranskyiBaranskyi 1.73/Ovsiienko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Baranskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Baranskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 17:30S. Baranskyi331111113O. Ovsiienko188640
WAug 8 · 04:30S. Baranskyi4661113163O. Ovsiienko4511911141
WMay 10 · 17:40S. Baranskyi3741111113O. Ovsiienko32115971
LMay 1 · 05:00S. Baranskyi457919101O. Ovsiienko51111117123
LMar 15 · 12:10S. Baranskyi44831111112O. Ovsiienko52111199123
WMar 1 · 13:40S. Baranskyi4291111113O. Ovsiienko31118481
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 13 · 16:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.8311911572S. Baranskyi1.83611511113WSep 13 · 15:30S. Baranskyi1.611111123M. Stetsenko2.2065100WSep 13 · 14:30O. Mytsyk1.804960S. Baranskyi1.91111173WSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110WSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113WSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113WSep 10 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.386810O. Ovsiienko1.531111113LSep 10 · 07:50A. Martyniuk1.73771111113O. Ovsiienko2.0011114162LSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113
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