TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136550
Played Sep 16Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114118611118––
Bohdan Zaika
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Bohdan Zaika below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 73.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 0–3 Bohdan Zaika Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Zaika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Zaika
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1467 vs Zaika 1493
Zaika
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Zaika 80%
Zaika
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Zaika 90%
Zaika
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi -1 · Zaika +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Zaika) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 3.25 / Zaika 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Zaika)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136550
Voinarovskyi3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Zaika1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi0wins
AwayZaika3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderZaika leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayZaika100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi0Zaika3n = 3Zaika took 3 of 3
S2Voinarovskyi2Zaika1n = 3Voinarovskyi took 2 of 3
S3Voinarovskyi1Zaika2n = 3Zaika took 2 of 3
S4Voinarovskyi2Zaika1n = 3Voinarovskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiZaikaV − ZBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match37.747.3−9.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiZaikaBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 354 vs 278 / 55251.4%50.4%182 / 354 vs 278 / 552Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaVoinarovskyi 3.25/Zaika 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.7%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 23 · 12:40F. Voinarovskyi4381161172B. Zaika51119119113
LFeb 12 · 17:10F. Voinarovskyi4191171132B. Zaika48118117113
LFeb 5 · 15:40F. Voinarovskyi29381261B. Zaika43111110113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 13:30F. Voinarovskyi1.531111113O. Ovsiienko2.385570WSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762WSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123LSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113WSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi1.671114115113M. Stetsenko2.1081671162WSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102LSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112WSep 9 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.806940F. Voinarovskyi1.911111113
B. Zaika10
WSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780WSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113LSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113
Upcoming Matches
F. Voinarovskyi
Nothing scheduled
B. Zaika
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