TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136708
Played Sep 16Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121171194111012
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 67.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 25–52 Oleksandr Tymofeev Bohdan Zaika has won 25 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-52 in 77
Tymofeev
Correct
gap of 27 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1485 vs Tymofeev 1468
Zaika
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 100% vs Tymofeev 80%
Zaika
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 70% vs Tymofeev 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +5 · Tymofeev +2
Zaika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaika form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 2.75 / Tymofeev 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Tymofeev)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13136708
Zaika2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 22 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Tymofeev1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 95 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it91% 67 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaika2wins
AwayTymofeev8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaika25%1 of 4
AwayTymofeev83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika4Tymofeev6n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S2Zaika4Tymofeev6n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S3Zaika3Tymofeev7n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S4Zaika2Tymofeev5n = 7Tymofeev took 5 of 7
S5Zaika1Tymofeev2n = 3Tymofeev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaikaTymofeevZ − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.840.6−4.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 559 vs 283 / 53950.1%52.5%280 / 559 vs 283 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevZaika 2.75/Tymofeev 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 11:40B. Zaika341110761O. Tymofeev4171211113
WJul 26 · 06:50B. Zaika44921111113O. Tymofeev4511119772
WJul 21 · 11:40B. Zaika341112113O. Tymofeev2781090
LJul 19 · 08:20B. Zaika51118131092O. Tymofeev505111112113
LJul 18 · 16:00B. Zaika2681080O. Tymofeev341112113
LJul 7 · 15:40B. Zaika4791181182O. Tymofeev51119119113
LJun 13 · 10:05B. Zaika32811671O. Tymofeev4111811113
LJun 9 · 13:10B. Zaika30712651O. Tymofeev43111011113
LJun 7 · 06:05B. Zaika33118681O. Tymofeev3961111113
LMay 26 · 11:40B. Zaika2711790O. Tymofeev351311113
B. Zaika10
WSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930WSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.67115591O. Tymofeev2.1091111113LSep 13 · 09:20O. Tymofeev2.25118115102E. Populovskyi1.57811611123WSep 13 · 08:20A. Martyniuk1.611110551O. Tymofeev2.2041211113WSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev1.5751111113A. Kurtenko2.25119921LSep 12 · 19:00O. Tymofeev2.0081050E. Populovskyi1.731112113WSep 12 · 17:00V. Smyk2.5087100O. Tymofeev1.501111123WSep 12 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10330O. Tymofeev1.6711112WSep 12 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.50111152S. Solomko2.5069111
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.