TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116713
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
311311––––––
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Point 28 set 2, 3-11 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 56.6%
28 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 2–0 Oleksandr Tymofeev Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1461 vs Tymofeev 1437
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Tymofeev 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Tymofeev 70%
Tymofeev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +1 · Tymofeev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.10 / Tymofeev 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tymofeev)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116713
Kurtenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Tymofeev1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 93 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it90% 66 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKurtenko2wins
AwayTymofeev0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderKurtenko leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKurtenkoTymofeevK − TBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match48.047.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 644 vs 281 / 54052.5%52%338 / 644 vs 281 / 540Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevKurtenko 2.10/Tymofeev 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 16 · 09:20A. Kurtenko43211118113O. Tymofeev4811891192
WAug 9 · 05:50A. Kurtenko531091112113O. Tymofeev47121191052
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 12 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.50111152S. Solomko2.5069111LSep 12 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.5011211113O. Tymofeev1.28411581LSep 11 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.4478111382S. Solomko2.631111611103WSep 11 · 17:00V. Smyk2.50111231082O. Tymofeev1.509101112113WSep 11 · 15:00A. Kovalenko2.635911101O. Tymofeev1.4411119123LSep 11 · 14:00O. Tymofeev2.0013771172E. Populovskyi1.731111115113WSep 11 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.251111641O. Tymofeev1.3391311113WSep 9 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.5311611113A. Kovalenko2.38511521WSep 9 · 17:00V. Smyk2.206560O. Tymofeev1.611111113WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073
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