TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117716
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
116119511––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 64.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 7–4 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:53What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Tymofeev
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1437 vs Solomko 1535
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 40% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 70% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev -2 · Solomko +3
Solomko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.50 / Solomko 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Tymofeev)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13117716
Tymofeev1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 93 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it90% 66 of 73
Solomko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 135 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymofeev7wins
AwaySolomko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev100%6 of 6
AwaySolomko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev6Solomko4n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S2Tymofeev6Solomko4n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S3Tymofeev8Solomko2n = 10Tymofeev took 8 of 10
S4Tymofeev5Solomko3n = 8Tymofeev took 5 of 8
S5Tymofeev1Solomko2n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymofeevSolomkoT − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.336.0+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 539 vs 526 / 102452%51.4%280 / 539 vs 526 / 1024Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.50/Solomko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev43111110113S. Solomko34771281
LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev4471111872S. Solomko45116611113
LAug 29 · 13:30O. Tymofeev4397131132S. Solomko511111117113
WAug 24 · 11:00O. Tymofeev4171111123S. Solomko331184101
WAug 4 · 17:40O. Tymofeev46111211123S. Solomko368144101
LAug 2 · 08:00O. Tymofeev347511111S. Solomko4411119133
WJul 26 · 07:50O. Tymofeev331111113S. Solomko177280
WJul 21 · 17:40O. Tymofeev43111164113S. Solomko3957111152
WJul 19 · 10:50O. Tymofeev351212113S. Solomko29101090
WJul 18 · 14:00O. Tymofeev4111811113S. Solomko32711771
O. Tymofeev10
LSep 12 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.5011211113O. Tymofeev1.28411581LSep 11 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.4478111382S. Solomko2.631111611103WSep 11 · 17:00V. Smyk2.50111231082O. Tymofeev1.509101112113WSep 11 · 15:00A. Kovalenko2.635911101O. Tymofeev1.4411119123LSep 11 · 14:00O. Tymofeev2.0013771172E. Populovskyi1.731111115113WSep 11 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.251111641O. Tymofeev1.3391311113WSep 9 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.5311611113A. Kovalenko2.38511521WSep 9 · 17:00V. Smyk2.206560O. Tymofeev1.611111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Stetsenko2.208790O. Tymofeev1.611111113WSep 9 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.40119117113F. Voinarovskyi2.7581131152
S. Solomko10
WSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 11 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.4478111382S. Solomko2.631111611103WSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko1.331211113E. Populovskyi3.2510440LSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112WSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko2.106680S. Solomko1.671111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113
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