TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111043
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161166118111311
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 94 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 55.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 60–66 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 60 of their 126 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-66 in 126
Solomko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 126, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1467 vs Solomko 1520
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 40% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 70% vs Solomko 50%
Leonenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko -3 · Solomko +2
Leonenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 2.10 / Solomko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Solomko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111043
Leonenko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 59
Solomko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 127 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it91% 62 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it79% 88 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonenko3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenko33.3%2 of 6
AwaySolomko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko6Solomko4n = 10Leonenko took 6 of 10
S2Leonenko2Solomko8n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S3Leonenko2Solomko8n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S4Leonenko4Solomko3n = 7Leonenko took 4 of 7
S5Leonenko2Solomko3n = 5Solomko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonenkoSolomkoL − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.640.7−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 835 vs 524 / 102551.9%51.1%433 / 835 vs 524 / 1025Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoLeonenko 2.10/Solomko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 21 · 10:50O. Leonenko—71160S. Solomko—1113113
LApr 23 · 05:30O. Leonenko—11781152S. Solomko—711113113
WApr 20 · 08:20O. Leonenko—1161110113S. Solomko—51161282
LApr 19 · 19:50O. Leonenko—7880S. Solomko—1111113
WApr 16 · 06:50O. Leonenko—11126113S. Solomko—5101141
LApr 13 · 11:50O. Leonenko—114101182S. Solomko—811125113
LApr 9 · 06:50O. Leonenko—136381S. Solomko—111111113
LApr 8 · 21:50O. Leonenko—8950S. Solomko—1111113
LApr 6 · 07:20O. Leonenko—11811742S. Solomko—711911113
WApr 5 · 18:20O. Leonenko—614812113S. Solomko—1112111072
O. Leonenko10
LSep 11 · 16:30A. Kovalenko2.20911119143O. Leonenko1.61116911122LSep 11 · 14:30V. Smyk2.381181133O. Leonenko1.53611801LSep 11 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.251111641O. Tymofeev1.3391311113LSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123WSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790WSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113WSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372WSep 7 · 11:05K. Klymenko2.10911121152O. Leonenko1.671113103113WSep 7 · 10:05O. Leonenko2.381111133O. Shyshman1.5343110
S. Solomko10
WSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko2.106680S. Solomko1.671111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132
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