TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110988
Played Sep 11Finished
Anatolii Kovalenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611811––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 55.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 14–16 Serhii Solomko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Solomko
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1405 vs Solomko 1510
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 60% vs Solomko 40%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 40% vs Solomko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +1 · Solomko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Solomko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 2.10 / Solomko 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Solomko)+3.8pp
Setka Cup · #13110988
Kovalenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 40 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Solomko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 127 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it91% 62 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it79% 88 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko57.1%4 of 7
AwaySolomko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko7Solomko3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S2Kovalenko3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S3Kovalenko8Solomko2n = 10Kovalenko took 8 of 10
S4Kovalenko4Solomko5n = 9Solomko took 5 of 9
S5Kovalenko1Solomko5n = 6Solomko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.841.5+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 517 vs 523 / 102453.2%51.1%275 / 517 vs 523 / 1024Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKovalenko 2.10/Solomko 1.67
Hit
What we said
59.6%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko—381111S. Solomko—1111393
LAug 31 · 08:35A. Kovalenko—611155112S. Solomko—1191311133
WAug 24 · 06:30A. Kovalenko—1111113S. Solomko—9960
LAug 18 · 12:05A. Kovalenko—114129102S. Solomko—9111011123
LAug 17 · 09:05A. Kovalenko—11911962S. Solomko—911911113
WAug 1 · 16:30A. Kovalenko—14812113S. Solomko—12111041
LJul 29 · 11:35A. Kovalenko—136111072S. Solomko—1111812113
LJul 25 · 19:00A. Kovalenko—99111182S. Solomko—111125113
WJun 13 · 15:20A. Kovalenko—1110911123S. Solomko—412112102
WJun 7 · 09:50A. Kovalenko—11116113S. Solomko—441181
A. Kovalenko10
WSep 11 · 12:00A. Kovalenko1.831113411113E. Populovskyi1.8321511232LSep 9 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.5311611113A. Kovalenko2.38511521LSep 9 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.806940F. Voinarovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.255760A. Kovalenko1.571111113WSep 9 · 13:30M. Stetsenko2.75641181A. Kovalenko1.4011117113LSep 9 · 12:30V. Smyk2.101111113A. Kovalenko1.677790LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791
S. Solomko10
WSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113
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