TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111409
Played Sep 11Finished
Vasiliy Smyk
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811311117711
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasiliy Smyk above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 64.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vasiliy Smyk 11–23 Serhii Solomko Vasiliy Smyk has won 11 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-23 in 34
Solomko
Correct
gap of 12 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Smyk 1435 vs Solomko 1501
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smyk 60% vs Solomko 20%
Smyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smyk 60% vs Solomko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Smyk +1 · Solomko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmyk 2.50 / Solomko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Solomko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111409
Smyk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 98 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Solomko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 127 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it91% 62 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it79% 88 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmyk2wins
AwaySolomko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmyk33.3%1 of 3
AwaySolomko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smyk3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S2Smyk4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Smyk3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S4Smyk4Solomko3n = 7Smyk took 4 of 7
S5Smyk1Solomko3n = 4Solomko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmykSolomkoSmyk − SolomkoBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.240.7−7.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmykSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 641 vs 522 / 102342.4%51%272 / 641 vs 522 / 1023Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSmyk 2.50/Solomko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 16:00V. Smyk—413651S. Solomko—111111103
WAug 4 · 11:10V. Smyk—891111113S. Solomko—11118472
LAug 1 · 14:30V. Smyk—716512102S. Solomko—11141110123
LJul 12 · 06:20V. Smyk—3560S. Solomko—1111113
LJul 11 · 16:30V. Smyk—711441S. Solomko—11811113
LJul 10 · 09:20V. Smyk—12471192S. Solomko—1011115113
LJul 4 · 06:50V. Smyk—3480S. Solomko—1111113
LJul 3 · 13:00V. Smyk—131031162S. Solomko—1112115113
WJun 28 · 09:20V. Smyk—1111113S. Solomko—9690
LJun 27 · 13:00V. Smyk—681151S. Solomko—11113113
V. Smyk10
WSep 9 · 18:00M. Stetsenko1.801061191V. Smyk1.9112116113LSep 9 · 17:00V. Smyk2.206560O. Tymofeev1.611111113LSep 9 · 16:00V. Smyk1.7398111122F. Voinarovskyi2.00111138113WSep 9 · 14:30V. Smyk1.531113113O. Ovsiienko2.3891190WSep 9 · 12:30V. Smyk2.101111113A. Kovalenko1.677790LSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 16:30V. Smyk2.631112113O. Leonenko1.4481080LSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621WSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361
S. Solomko10
WSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko2.106680S. Solomko1.671111113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113
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