TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117020
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311118911511711
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 40–29 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-29 in 69
Kurtenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1446 vs Solomko 1526
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 40% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Solomko 50%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +2 · Solomko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.83 / Solomko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solomko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117020
Kurtenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Solomko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko60%3 of 5
AwaySolomko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurtenko2Solomko5n = 7Solomko took 5 of 7
S5Kurtenko2Solomko4n = 6Solomko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.9−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 647 vs 526 / 102852.4%51.2%339 / 647 vs 526 / 1028Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKurtenko 1.83/Solomko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko327111131S. Solomko3711110153
LSep 2 · 05:35A. Kurtenko2413830S. Solomko371511113
WAug 23 · 12:50A. Kurtenko47111168113S. Solomko4578111182
LAug 22 · 14:00A. Kurtenko4497111162S. Solomko45111176103
WJul 15 · 11:35A. Kurtenko52111199123S. Solomko43651111102
LJun 17 · 16:20A. Kurtenko531210111192S. Solomko43141242113
LMay 21 · 12:50A. Kurtenko3912211682S. Solomko521011911113
WMay 18 · 08:05A. Kurtenko331111113S. Solomko208840
LApr 22 · 19:50A. Kurtenko228770S. Solomko331111113
LApr 20 · 09:20A. Kurtenko49111198102S. Solomko44371111123
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110
S. Solomko10
LSep 12 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.50111142S. Solomko2.506940WSep 11 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.4478111382S. Solomko2.631111611103WSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko1.331211113E. Populovskyi3.2510440LSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112WSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko2.106680S. Solomko1.671111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113WSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.