TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111109
Played Sep 11Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114114––––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 73.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 24–8 Eduard Populovskyi Eduard Populovskyi has won 8 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-8 in 32
Solomko
Correct
gap of 16 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1496 vs Populovskyi 1437
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 40% vs Populovskyi 60%
Populovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 50% vs Populovskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -1 · Populovskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 1.33 / Populovskyi 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Solomko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111109
Solomko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 127 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it91% 62 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it79% 88 of 111
Populovskyi3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 52 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko7wins
AwayPopulovskyi3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko71.4%5 of 7
AwayPopulovskyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko7Populovskyi3n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S2Solomko9Populovskyi1n = 10Solomko took 9 of 10
S3Solomko7Populovskyi3n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S4Solomko2Populovskyi3n = 5Populovskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoPopulovskyiS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.529.6+6.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime524 / 1026 vs 339 / 69251.1%49%524 / 1026 vs 339 / 692Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSolomko 1.33/Populovskyi 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:20S. Solomko—81111113E. Populovskyi—117971
WSep 3 · 10:00S. Solomko—1111113E. Populovskyi—3840
WSep 2 · 10:35S. Solomko—1111113E. Populovskyi—7980
WAug 31 · 10:35S. Solomko—1111113E. Populovskyi—7390
WAug 30 · 11:20S. Solomko—1213113E. Populovskyi—101140
LAug 29 · 15:00S. Solomko—1114121092E. Populovskyi—5121412113
WAug 23 · 11:20S. Solomko—1111113E. Populovskyi—5330
LAug 22 · 17:30S. Solomko—411831E. Populovskyi—11811113
WAug 17 · 05:35S. Solomko—61311113E. Populovskyi—1111471
LAug 2 · 10:00S. Solomko—1148101E. Populovskyi—61111123
S. Solomko10
LSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112WSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko2.106680S. Solomko1.671111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670
E. Populovskyi10
WSep 11 · 16:00V. Smyk1.917750E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 11 · 14:00O. Tymofeev2.0013771172E. Populovskyi1.731111115113LSep 11 · 12:00A. Kovalenko1.831113411113E. Populovskyi1.8321511232LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113WSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113
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