TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122829
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119119112––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:56 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 59.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 2–2 Andrii Kurtenko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1453 vs Kurtenko 1433
Tymofeev
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 60% vs Kurtenko 40%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 60% vs Kurtenko 40%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev -1 · Kurtenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.57 / Kurtenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Tymofeev)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122829
Tymofeev1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 93 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it91% 67 of 74
Kurtenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 49 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTymofeev2wins
AwayKurtenko2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev33.3%1 of 3
AwayKurtenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev3Kurtenko1n = 4Tymofeev took 3 of 4
S2Tymofeev3Kurtenko1n = 4Tymofeev took 3 of 4
S3Tymofeev1Kurtenko3n = 4Kurtenko took 3 of 4
S4Tymofeev3Kurtenko1n = 4Tymofeev took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTymofeevKurtenkoT − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match43.039.2+3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 539 vs 339 / 64852.1%52.3%281 / 539 vs 339 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.57/Kurtenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev3851111113A. Kurtenko31119921
WSep 5 · 15:00O. Tymofeev3911111073A. Kurtenko30851251
LAug 16 · 09:20O. Tymofeev4811891192A. Kurtenko43211118113
LAug 9 · 05:50O. Tymofeev47121191052A. Kurtenko531091112113
O. Tymofeev10
LSep 12 · 19:00O. Tymofeev2.0081050E. Populovskyi1.731112113WSep 12 · 17:00V. Smyk2.5087100O. Tymofeev1.501111123WSep 12 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10330O. Tymofeev1.6711112WSep 12 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.50111152S. Solomko2.5069111LSep 12 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.5011211113O. Tymofeev1.28411581LSep 11 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.4478111382S. Solomko2.631111611103WSep 11 · 17:00V. Smyk2.50111231082O. Tymofeev1.509101112113WSep 11 · 15:00A. Kovalenko2.635911101O. Tymofeev1.4411119123LSep 11 · 14:00O. Tymofeev2.0013771172E. Populovskyi1.731111115113WSep 11 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.251111641O. Tymofeev1.3391311113
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 12 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8314102V. Smyk1.831290LSep 12 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.6791111892O. Leonenko2.10118611113LSep 12 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10330O. Tymofeev1.6711112WSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113
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