TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116877
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118116811911
Oleksandr Leonenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Oleksandr Leonenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 34–31 Oleksandr Leonenko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 31 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kurtenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-31 in 65
Kurtenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1439 vs Leonenko 1433
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Leonenko 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Leonenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -1 · Leonenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.67 / Leonenko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kurtenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13116877
Kurtenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 154 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it91% 90 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 118 of 147
Leonenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko4wins
AwayLeonenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLeonenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko60%3 of 5
AwayLeonenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Leonenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko7Leonenko3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurtenko1Leonenko9n = 10Leonenko took 9 of 10
S4Kurtenko3Leonenko4n = 7Leonenko took 4 of 7
S5Kurtenko2Leonenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoLeonenkoK − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.8−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoLeonenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 645 vs 435 / 84052.4%51.8%338 / 645 vs 435 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.67/Leonenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 12:20A. Kurtenko331111113O. Leonenko249960
WAug 20 · 06:20A. Kurtenko3811115113O. Leonenko38991191
LAug 14 · 11:00A. Kurtenko197570O. Leonenko331111113
LJul 2 · 06:20A. Kurtenko391011991O. Leonenko4312911113
LJun 29 · 11:20A. Kurtenko2771190O. Leonenko351113113
LJun 28 · 15:30A. Kurtenko33713941O. Leonenko44111111113
LJun 14 · 19:50A. Kurtenko4011115942O. Leonenko45841111113
WJun 11 · 09:20A. Kurtenko50119811113O. Leonenko3931111952
WJun 10 · 15:50A. Kurtenko5310111011113O. Leonenko4512712772
LJun 8 · 09:20A. Kurtenko46111141192O. Leonenko52891113113
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 12 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10330O. Tymofeev1.6711112WSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561
O. Leonenko10
LSep 12 · 14:30V. Smyk2.2511311343O. Leonenko1.5791161112WSep 12 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.5011211113O. Tymofeev1.28411581LSep 11 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.00116971E. Populovskyi1.7391111113LSep 11 · 16:30A. Kovalenko2.20911119143O. Leonenko1.61116911122WSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112LSep 11 · 14:30V. Smyk2.381181133O. Leonenko1.53611801LSep 11 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.251111641O. Tymofeev1.3391311113LSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123WSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790
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