TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136410
Played Sep 16Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
112811811117116
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeFedir Voinarovskyi to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Fedir Voinarovskyi at 70.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 15–4 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Voinarovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-4 in 19
Voinarovskyi
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1458 vs Kurtenko 1448
Voinarovskyi
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Kurtenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 50% vs Kurtenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi +1 · Kurtenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Voinarovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 1.33 / Kurtenko 3.25
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13136410
Voinarovskyi1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 40 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it73% 32 of 44
Kurtenko3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 50 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi9wins
AwayKurtenko1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyi88.9%8 of 9
AwayKurtenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi9Kurtenko1n = 10Voinarovskyi took 9 of 10
S2Voinarovskyi8Kurtenko2n = 10Voinarovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Voinarovskyi7Kurtenko3n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Voinarovskyi2Kurtenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiKurtenkoV − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.926.2+9.7per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 351 vs 342 / 65251.3%52.5%180 / 351 vs 342 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiVoinarovskyi 1.33/Kurtenko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi496111110113A. Kurtenko4111381272
WAug 27 · 07:50F. Voinarovskyi41114411113A. Kurtenko4031111692
WJun 25 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi331111113A. Kurtenko114340
WJun 4 · 06:20F. Voinarovskyi331111113A. Kurtenko177640
WMay 25 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi331111113A. Kurtenko197570
WApr 13 · 06:30F. Voinarovskyi361111143A. Kurtenko2998120
WMar 23 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi331111113A. Kurtenko131480
LMar 14 · 11:35F. Voinarovskyi29117471A. Kurtenko3631111113
WFeb 16 · 13:50F. Voinarovskyi3611113113A. Kurtenko29391161
WJan 29 · 13:20F. Voinarovskyi361211133A. Kurtenko27106110
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123LSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113WSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi1.671114115113M. Stetsenko2.1081671162WSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102LSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112WSep 9 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.806940F. Voinarovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 16:00V. Smyk1.7398111122F. Voinarovskyi2.00111138113LSep 9 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.40119117113F. Voinarovskyi2.7581131152LSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150WSep 15 · 10:35A. Kurtenko1.91111011123E. Populovskyi1.806127101WSep 15 · 08:35A. Kovalenko1.83711921A. Kurtenko1.8311711113LSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090WSep 15 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.63611111162A. Kurtenko1.44111374113LSep 13 · 12:50A. Kurtenko1.73101090E. Populovskyi2.001212113LSep 13 · 10:50A. Martyniuk1.33111179123A. Kurtenko3.25581111102WSep 13 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.61114671A. Kurtenko2.2061111113LSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133LSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev1.5751111113A. Kurtenko2.25119921
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