TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122685
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116411611711––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:04 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 67 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 57.3%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 45–32 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 32 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Osadchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-32 in 77
Osadchyi
Wrong
gap of 13 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1548 vs Kurtenko 1425
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Kurtenko 20%
Osadchyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 50% vs Kurtenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -1 · Kurtenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Osadchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.61 / Kurtenko 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Osadchyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122685
Osadchyi1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 106 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it85% 76 of 89
Kurtenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 49 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi6wins
AwayKurtenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi80%4 of 5
AwayKurtenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Osadchyi4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S3Osadchyi7Kurtenko3n = 10Osadchyi took 7 of 10
S4Osadchyi4Kurtenko5n = 9Kurtenko took 5 of 9
S5Osadchyi2Kurtenko1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiKurtenkoO − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.9+2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 852 vs 339 / 64951.4%52.2%438 / 852 vs 339 / 649Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.61/Kurtenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi4181111113A. Kurtenko27114571
WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi4111711123A. Kurtenko326115101
WAug 16 · 12:50O. Osadchyi4411616113A. Kurtenko407111481
LAug 9 · 11:23O. Osadchyi57111315992A. Kurtenko577151311113
WAug 9 · 06:50O. Osadchyi48111169113A. Kurtenko4479111162
LJul 16 · 05:50O. Osadchyi35961191A. Kurtenko4211119113
LJul 15 · 09:05O. Osadchyi371011791A. Kurtenko4012611113
WJul 12 · 14:00O. Osadchyi44113118113A. Kurtenko4171191132
WJul 9 · 12:20O. Osadchyi4071111113A. Kurtenko30115861
LJul 6 · 07:20O. Osadchyi2551280A. Kurtenko361114113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 13 · 07:20O. Osadchyi1.33107111152E. Populovskyi3.25121134113WSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi2.1011711113S. Solomko1.67511881WSep 10 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.676430O. Osadchyi2.101111113LSep 10 · 10:35O. Osadchyi4.00591161A. Troyan1.2211119113WSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113LSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133LSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev1.5751111113A. Kurtenko2.25119921WSep 12 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8314102V. Smyk1.831290LSep 12 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.6791111892O. Leonenko2.10118611113LSep 12 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10330O. Tymofeev1.6711112WSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073
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