TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121777
Played Sep 13Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151187119111210
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 71.7% is still 71.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
71.7%
71.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 71.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 4–1 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1498 vs Kurtenko 1434
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 60% vs Kurtenko 40%
Martyniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 50% vs Kurtenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +1 · Kurtenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Martyniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 1.33 / Kurtenko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Martyniuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121777
Martyniuk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 54 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Kurtenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 49 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMartyniuk4wins
AwayKurtenko1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk80%4 of 5
AwayKurtenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk5Kurtenko0n = 5Martyniuk took 5 of 5
S2Martyniuk4Kurtenko1n = 5Martyniuk took 4 of 5
S3Martyniuk2Kurtenko3n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
S4Martyniuk2Kurtenko1n = 3Martyniuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMartyniukKurtenkoM − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match41.034.8+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 325 vs 340 / 65252%52.2%169 / 325 vs 340 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukMartyniuk 1.33/Kurtenko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 13 · 10:50A. Martyniuk50111179123A. Kurtenko45581111102
WAug 22 · 15:00A. Martyniuk341211113A. Kurtenko2610970
LJun 21 · 15:20A. Martyniuk4811981282A. Kurtenko529111110113
WMar 7 · 22:50A. Martyniuk4011117113A. Kurtenko29751161
WMar 27 · 05:30A. Martyniuk331111113A. Kurtenko229850
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 13 · 11:50O. Osadchyi3.756990A. Martyniuk1.251111113WSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk1.83911117123S. Solomko1.83119511102LSep 13 · 08:20A. Martyniuk1.611110551O. Tymofeev2.2041211113LSep 13 · 06:20A. Martyniuk1.40114861E. Populovskyi2.7561111113WSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850WSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113WSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113WSep 10 · 07:50A. Martyniuk1.73771111113O. Ovsiienko2.0011114162LSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372LSep 7 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.911161111113A. Martyniuk1.8071113952
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 12:50A. Kurtenko1.73101090E. Populovskyi2.001212113WSep 13 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.61114671A. Kurtenko2.2061111113LSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133LSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev1.5751111113A. Kurtenko2.25119921WSep 12 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8314102V. Smyk1.831290LSep 12 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.6791111892O. Leonenko2.10118611113LSep 12 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10330O. Tymofeev1.6711112WSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141
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