TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13123319
Played Sep 13Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116411811611––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:19 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 69.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 13–7 Eduard Populovskyi Eduard Populovskyi has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Martyniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-7 in 20
Martyniuk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1492 vs Populovskyi 1470
Martyniuk
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 80% vs Populovskyi 60%
Martyniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 60% vs Populovskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +4 · Populovskyi +1
Martyniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Martyniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 1.40 / Populovskyi 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Martyniuk)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13123319
Martyniuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 54 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Populovskyi2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 46 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk7wins
AwayPopulovskyi3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk66.7%6 of 9
AwayPopulovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk9Populovskyi1n = 10Martyniuk took 9 of 10
S2Martyniuk6Populovskyi4n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S3Martyniuk5Populovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Martyniuk3Populovskyi4n = 7Populovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Martyniuk2Populovskyi1n = 3Martyniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukPopulovskyiM − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.436.7+3.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 321 vs 343 / 69951.7%49.1%166 / 321 vs 343 / 699Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukMartyniuk 1.40/Populovskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Populovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:20A. Martyniuk29114861E. Populovskyi3961111113
WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk531111812113E. Populovskyi4466111472
WAug 29 · 13:00A. Martyniuk381116113E. Populovskyi2251430
WAug 22 · 13:30A. Martyniuk341211113E. Populovskyi2810990
WJul 23 · 10:35A. Martyniuk3811115113E. Populovskyi34591191
LJul 22 · 09:35A. Martyniuk4311131091E. Populovskyi4461512113
WJun 21 · 20:50A. Martyniuk4391211113E. Populovskyi371110881
WMar 19 · 12:00A. Martyniuk331111113E. Populovskyi196760
LFeb 15 · 13:20A. Martyniuk4712791182E. Populovskyi521011119113
WFeb 14 · 20:50A. Martyniuk46117115123E. Populovskyi48811811102
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850WSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113WSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113WSep 10 · 07:50A. Martyniuk1.73771111113O. Ovsiienko2.0011114162LSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372LSep 7 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.911161111113A. Martyniuk1.8071113952LSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152
E. Populovskyi10
WSep 12 · 19:00O. Tymofeev2.0081050E. Populovskyi1.731112113LSep 12 · 17:30E. Populovskyi3.254540S. Solomko1.33111183LSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851WSep 12 · 12:30V. Smyk1.911111119102E. Populovskyi1.80138811123WSep 11 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.00116971E. Populovskyi1.7391111113LSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko1.331211113E. Populovskyi3.2510440WSep 11 · 16:00V. Smyk1.917750E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 11 · 14:00O. Tymofeev2.0013771172E. Populovskyi1.731111115113LSep 11 · 12:00A. Kovalenko1.831113411113E. Populovskyi1.8321511232LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570
Upcoming Matches
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E. Populovskyi
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