TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117031
Played Sep 12Finished
Eduard Populovskyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41151148––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEduard Populovskyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-8
Point 43 set 3, 4-8 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 75.3%
43 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Populovskyi 8–24 Serhii Solomko Eduard Populovskyi has won 8 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-24 in 32
Solomko
Correct
gap of 16 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Populovskyi 1454 vs Solomko 1551
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Populovskyi 60% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Populovskyi 60% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Populovskyi -1 · Solomko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPopulovskyi 3.25 / Solomko 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Solomko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117031
Populovskyi3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 52 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Solomko1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 89 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePopulovskyi3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePopulovskyi33.3%1 of 3
AwaySolomko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Populovskyi3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S2Populovskyi1Solomko9n = 10Solomko took 9 of 10
S3Populovskyi3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S4Populovskyi3Solomko2n = 5Populovskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPopulovskyiSolomkoP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.636.5−6.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPopulovskyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 696 vs 527 / 102649%51.4%341 / 696 vs 527 / 1026Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoPopulovskyi 3.25/Solomko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi34117971S. Solomko4181111113
LSep 3 · 10:00E. Populovskyi153840S. Solomko331111113
LSep 2 · 10:35E. Populovskyi247980S. Solomko331111113
LAug 31 · 10:35E. Populovskyi197390S. Solomko331111113
LAug 30 · 11:20E. Populovskyi25101140S. Solomko361213113
WAug 29 · 15:00E. Populovskyi545121412113S. Solomko561114121092
LAug 23 · 11:20E. Populovskyi115330S. Solomko331111113
WAug 22 · 17:30E. Populovskyi4111811113S. Solomko26411831
LAug 17 · 05:35E. Populovskyi331111471S. Solomko4161311113
WAug 2 · 10:00E. Populovskyi4061111123S. Solomko331148101
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851WSep 12 · 12:30V. Smyk1.911111119102E. Populovskyi1.80138811123WSep 11 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.00116971E. Populovskyi1.7391111113LSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko1.331211113E. Populovskyi3.2510440WSep 11 · 16:00V. Smyk1.917750E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 11 · 14:00O. Tymofeev2.0013771172E. Populovskyi1.731111115113LSep 11 · 12:00A. Kovalenko1.831113411113E. Populovskyi1.8321511232LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890
S. Solomko10
WSep 12 · 16:00V. Smyk2.3810570S. Solomko1.531211113LSep 12 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.50111152S. Solomko2.5069111WSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 11 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.4478111382S. Solomko2.631111611103WSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko1.331211113E. Populovskyi3.2510440LSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112WSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko2.106680S. Solomko1.671111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891
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