TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116743
Played Sep 12Finished
Vasiliy Smyk
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511711––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasiliy Smyk above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 62.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vasiliy Smyk 13–24 Serhii Solomko Vasiliy Smyk has won 13 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-24 in 37
Solomko
Correct
gap of 11 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Smyk 1407 vs Solomko 1535
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smyk 20% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smyk 30% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Smyk +1 · Solomko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmyk 2.38 / Solomko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Solomko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116743
Smyk2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 97 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Solomko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 89 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmyk3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySolomko62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smyk2Solomko8n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S2Smyk4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Smyk3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S4Smyk6Solomko2n = 8Smyk took 6 of 8
S5Smyk2Solomko3n = 5Solomko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmykSolomkoSmyk − SolomkoBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.042.9−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmykSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 648 vs 526 / 102542.3%51.3%274 / 648 vs 526 / 1025Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSmyk 2.38/Solomko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk4112831172S. Solomko501011117113
WSep 5 · 12:30V. Smyk521081112113S. Solomko47121161082
WAug 23 · 09:20V. Smyk4181111113S. Solomko35119691
LAug 22 · 16:00V. Smyk28413651S. Solomko43111111103
WAug 4 · 11:10V. Smyk50891111113S. Solomko4111118472
LAug 1 · 14:30V. Smyk50716512102S. Solomko5811141110123
LJul 12 · 06:20V. Smyk143560S. Solomko331111113
LJul 11 · 16:30V. Smyk26711441S. Solomko4111811113
LJul 10 · 09:20V. Smyk4312471192S. Solomko481011115113
LJul 4 · 06:50V. Smyk153480S. Solomko331111113
V. Smyk10
WSep 12 · 14:30V. Smyk2.2511311343O. Leonenko1.5791161112LSep 12 · 12:30V. Smyk1.911111119102E. Populovskyi1.80138811123LSep 11 · 18:00A. Kovalenko2.0031111113V. Smyk1.73119991LSep 11 · 17:00V. Smyk2.50111231082O. Tymofeev1.509101112113LSep 11 · 16:00V. Smyk1.917750E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 11 · 14:30V. Smyk2.381181133O. Leonenko1.53611801LSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Stetsenko1.801061191V. Smyk1.9112116113LSep 9 · 17:00V. Smyk2.206560O. Tymofeev1.611111113LSep 9 · 16:00V. Smyk1.7398111122F. Voinarovskyi2.00111138113
S. Solomko10
LSep 12 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.50111152S. Solomko2.5069111WSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.8313119572S. Solomko1.831181111113WSep 11 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.4478111382S. Solomko2.631111611103WSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko1.331211113E. Populovskyi3.2510440LSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112WSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko2.106680S. Solomko1.671111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Smyk2.5012831172S. Solomko1.501011117113LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.