TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121773
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911911––––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 76.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 0–6 Andrii Martyniuk Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1505 vs Martyniuk 1483
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 40% vs Martyniuk 60%
Martyniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 30% vs Martyniuk 60%
Martyniuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -3 · Martyniuk +2
Osadchyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 3.75 / Martyniuk 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Martyniuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13121773
Osadchyi3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 101 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 67
Martyniuk1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 54 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOsadchyi0wins
AwayMartyniuk6wins
3 of 6 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 6–0, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMartyniuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi1Martyniuk5n = 6Martyniuk took 5 of 6
S2Osadchyi2Martyniuk4n = 6Martyniuk took 4 of 6
S3Osadchyi0Martyniuk6n = 6Martyniuk took 6 of 6
S4Osadchyi3Martyniuk0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
S5Osadchyi0Martyniuk3n = 3Martyniuk took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricOsadchyiMartyniukO − MBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match26.841.0−14.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 854 vs 168 / 32451.3%51.9%438 / 854 vs 168 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukOsadchyi 3.75/Martyniuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 11 · 05:30O. Osadchyi176470A. Martyniuk331111113
LAug 5 · 07:35O. Osadchyi94320A. Martyniuk331111113
LJul 22 · 11:35O. Osadchyi4051181152A. Martyniuk50119118113
LJul 18 · 16:30O. Osadchyi192980A. Martyniuk331111113
LJun 30 · 11:35O. Osadchyi4211971142A. Martyniuk46511118113
LJun 27 · 13:30O. Osadchyi3431161222A. Martyniuk511181110113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 13 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.67115591O. Tymofeev2.1091111113LSep 13 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.61114671A. Kurtenko2.2061111113LSep 13 · 07:20O. Osadchyi1.33107111152E. Populovskyi3.25121134113WSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi2.1011711113S. Solomko1.67511881WSep 10 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.676430O. Osadchyi2.101111113LSep 10 · 10:35O. Osadchyi4.00591161A. Troyan1.2211119113WSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113LSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 13 · 10:50A. Martyniuk1.33111179123A. Kurtenko3.25581111102WSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk1.83911117123S. Solomko1.83119511102LSep 13 · 08:20A. Martyniuk1.611110551O. Tymofeev2.2041211113LSep 13 · 06:20A. Martyniuk1.40114861E. Populovskyi2.7561111113WSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850WSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113WSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113WSep 10 · 07:50A. Martyniuk1.73771111113O. Ovsiienko2.0011114162LSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372LSep 7 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.911161111113A. Martyniuk1.8071113952
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