TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142641
Played Sep 17Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 56.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 26–34 Oleksandr Lipeiko Sergii Skhabitskiy has won 26 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-34 in 60
Lipeiko
Correct
gap of 8 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1404 vs Lipeiko 1408
Lipeiko
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 40% vs Lipeiko 80%
Lipeiko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 30% vs Lipeiko 50%
Lipeiko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy -2 · Lipeiko +4
Lipeiko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lipeiko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 2.25 / Lipeiko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Lipeiko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142641
Skhabitskiy2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 93 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Lipeiko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 55 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it76% 45 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy4wins
AwayLipeiko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLipeiko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy80%4 of 5
AwayLipeiko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy5Lipeiko5n = 10split evenly
S2Skhabitskiy4Lipeiko6n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy3Lipeiko7n = 10Lipeiko took 7 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy2Lipeiko5n = 7Lipeiko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyLipeikoS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.738.8−3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 1073 vs 246 / 51144.4%48.1%476 / 1073 vs 246 / 511Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoSkhabitskiy 2.25/Lipeiko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 13 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2765160O. Lipeiko401111183
LJul 8 · 09:35S. Skhabitskiy36128971O. Lipeiko43101111113
WJul 1 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy50119811113O. Lipeiko3651111452
LJun 24 · 02:10S. Skhabitskiy29412671O. Lipeiko43111011113
WJun 14 · 19:20S. Skhabitskiy4111118113O. Lipeiko31571181
WJun 1 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy44113118113O. Lipeiko4071181132
WMay 23 · 18:50S. Skhabitskiy411118123O. Lipeiko31516100
LMay 18 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy30911281O. Lipeiko4111811113
LApr 24 · 08:35S. Skhabitskiy39761881O. Lipeiko49111116113
LApr 23 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2019100O. Lipeiko341111123
S. Skhabitskiy10
LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113LSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113LSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571WSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113LSep 15 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy2.75371161A. Martyniuk1.4011119113LSep 15 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5011128692E. Populovskyi1.503101111113LSep 15 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.25115961A. Kovalenko1.5771111113LSep 15 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.63611111162A. Kurtenko1.44111374113LSep 14 · 12:20S. Skhabitskiy1.366930O. Ovsiienko3.001111113
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652
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