TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142722
Played Sep 17Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711611511––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 56.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 59–124 Oleksandr Mytsyk Sergii Skhabitskiy has won 59 of their 183 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-124 in 183
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 65 in 183, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1418 vs Mytsyk 1353
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 40% vs Mytsyk 20%
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 30% vs Mytsyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy -1 · Mytsyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 2.00 / Mytsyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13142722
Skhabitskiy2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 93 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Mytsyk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 163 of 297
Up 2–0, closes it88% 74 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it78% 120 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy7wins
AwayMytsyk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy85.7%6 of 7
AwayMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy7Mytsyk3n = 10Skhabitskiy took 7 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy6Mytsyk4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy6Mytsyk4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy4Mytsyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Skhabitskiy2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyMytsykS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.838.0+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 1072 vs 534 / 107544.4%49.7%476 / 1072 vs 534 / 1075Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykSkhabitskiy 2.00/Mytsyk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy4071111113O. Mytsyk35119961
WAug 23 · 15:40S. Skhabitskiy47117117113O. Mytsyk4361191162
WAug 21 · 07:05S. Skhabitskiy4011117113O. Mytsyk34681191
WAug 20 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy351212113O. Mytsyk26101060
WAug 19 · 16:30S. Skhabitskiy50111378113O. Mytsyk45911111132
LAug 17 · 12:50S. Skhabitskiy164750O. Mytsyk331111113
WAug 16 · 13:30S. Skhabitskiy46111311113O. Mytsyk366111361
LAug 14 · 11:30S. Skhabitskiy4511914652O. Mytsyk527111211113
LAug 12 · 08:05S. Skhabitskiy3951111482O. Mytsyk43114611113
WAug 9 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy4011711113O. Mytsyk33611791
S. Skhabitskiy10
LSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571WSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113LSep 15 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy2.75371161A. Martyniuk1.4011119113LSep 15 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5011128692E. Populovskyi1.503101111113LSep 15 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.25115961A. Kovalenko1.5771111113LSep 15 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.63611111162A. Kurtenko1.44111374113LSep 14 · 12:20S. Skhabitskiy1.366930O. Ovsiienko3.001111113WSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113LSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041LSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113LSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy2.2071111113O. Mytsyk1.61119961WSep 13 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.25915761O. Mytsyk1.57111311113WSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110
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