TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126551
Played Sep 14Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911311––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 51 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 70.4%
51 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 15–5 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1446 vs Ovsiienko 1426
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 80% vs Ovsiienko 60%
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 60% vs Ovsiienko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy +1 · Ovsiienko +3
Ovsiienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 1.36 / Ovsiienko 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126551
Skhabitskiy1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 96 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 93
Ovsiienko3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy6wins
AwayOvsiienko4wins
Skhabitskiy leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy100%4 of 4
AwayOvsiienko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy4Ovsiienko6n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy8Ovsiienko2n = 10Skhabitskiy took 8 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy6Ovsiienko4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy2Ovsiienko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyOvsiienkoS − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.928.8+3.1per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 1070 vs 452 / 86644.5%52.2%476 / 1070 vs 452 / 866Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiySkhabitskiy 1.36/Ovsiienko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 12:20S. Skhabitskiy186930O. Ovsiienko331111113
WAug 30 · 14:00S. Skhabitskiy331111113O. Ovsiienko213990
WAug 24 · 09:50S. Skhabitskiy331111113O. Ovsiienko218760
LAug 23 · 12:40S. Skhabitskiy314111151O. Ovsiienko3911413113
WAug 21 · 05:05S. Skhabitskiy351311113O. Ovsiienko2611960
WAug 20 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy331111113O. Ovsiienko113620
LAug 19 · 13:30S. Skhabitskiy177820O. Ovsiienko331111113
WAug 17 · 11:20S. Skhabitskiy4371312113O. Ovsiienko3511111031
WAug 16 · 15:30S. Skhabitskiy3941113113O. Ovsiienko291161111
LAug 12 · 05:05S. Skhabitskiy371111871O. Ovsiienko4013511113
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113LSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113WSep 14 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.105990S. Skhabitskiy1.671111113WSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy2.2071111113O. Mytsyk1.61119961WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 14 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.735830O. Ovsiienko2.001111113WSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113WSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113LSep 13 · 18:30S. Baranskyi1.731111113O. Ovsiienko2.004980LSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110WSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113WSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.73116571O. Ovsiienko2.0081111113
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