TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155694
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
111311128––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 0-5
Point 41 set 3, 0-5 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
41 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 7–9 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:31What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Solomko
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1418 vs Solomko 1499
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 80% vs Solomko 20%
Lipeiko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 70% vs Solomko 40%
Lipeiko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko -1 · Solomko -3
Solomko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.91 / Solomko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solomko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155694
Lipeiko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 47 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Solomko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 113 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it90% 53 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it79% 78 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLipeiko4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko33.3%2 of 6
AwaySolomko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko6Solomko4n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S2Lipeiko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Lipeiko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Lipeiko3Solomko6n = 9Solomko took 6 of 9
S5Lipeiko2Solomko3n = 5Solomko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLipeikoSolomkoL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.644.2−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 511 vs 523 / 102148.1%51.2%246 / 511 vs 523 / 1021Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoLipeiko 1.91/Solomko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko49611611153S. Solomko44111118132
LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko45111011852S. Solomko49812711113
LAug 17 · 10:05O. Lipeiko32119931S. Solomko4291111113
WJul 25 · 14:00O. Lipeiko47131110133S. Solomko4111712111
WJul 23 · 06:05O. Lipeiko48814114113S. Solomko50111271192
LJul 17 · 06:05O. Lipeiko51138119102S. Solomko491111411123
WJul 14 · 05:30O. Lipeiko3911116113S. Solomko27451171
LJun 28 · 12:50O. Lipeiko4010512131S. Solomko48121110153
LMay 31 · 12:20O. Lipeiko511114111052S. Solomko54916612113
LMay 17 · 12:50O. Lipeiko2455140S. Solomko381111163
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662LSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113
S. Solomko10
LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.5051070S. Solomko1.281112113LSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk1.83911117123S. Solomko1.83119511102WSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133LSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi2.1011711113S. Solomko1.67511881LSep 12 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.20411111103S. Solomko1.6111511982WSep 12 · 17:30E. Populovskyi3.254540S. Solomko1.33111183WSep 12 · 16:00V. Smyk2.3810570S. Solomko1.531211113
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